Utah State vs UNLV Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MWC Tournament

The No. 3 seed Utah State Aggies (25-6, 15-5 MWC) will play the No. 6 seed UNLV Rebels (18-14, 11-9 MWC) in the MWC tournament Thursday at Thomas & Mack Center, tipping off at 11:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Utah State vs. UNLV Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
• Game time: 11:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS Sports Network
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
• Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

Utah State vs. UNLV Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Utah State win (74%)

Utah State is a 7.5-point favorite against UNLV on Thursday and the over/under is set at 141.5 points. Keep reading for a few betting insights and trends before you decide to wager on the outing.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Utah State vs. UNLV: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Utah State has compiled a 15-15-0 record against the spread this season.
• UNLV has compiled a 13-18-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Utah State covers the spread when it is a 7.5-point favorite or more 46.7% of the time. That's more often than UNLV covers as an underdog of 7.5 or more (42.9%).
• Against the spread, the Aggies have performed better when playing at home, covering nine times in 16 home games, and five times in 11 road games.
• The Rebels' winning percentage against the spread at home is .467 (7-8-0). On the road, it is .500 (6-6-0).
• Utah State is 9-11-0 against the spread in conference games this season.
• Against the spread in MWC games, UNLV is 10-11-0 this season.

Utah State vs. UNLV: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Utah State has been victorious in 20, or 87%, of the 23 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Aggies have a mark of 14-1 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -330 or better on the moneyline.
• UNLV has won four of the 16 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (25%).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +260 or longer, the Rebels have gone 1-6 (14.3%).
• Utah State has an implied victory probability of 76.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Utah State vs. UNLV Head-to-Head Comparison

• Utah State has a +359 scoring differential, topping opponents by 11.6 points per game. It is putting up 81.5 points per game to rank 25th in college basketball and is allowing 69.9 per outing to rank 112th in college basketball.
• Ian Martinez's 16.9 points per game lead Utah State and rank 121st in college basketball.
• UNLV has a +49 scoring differential, topping opponents by 1.5 points per game. It is putting up 69.6 points per game, 293rd in college basketball, and is allowing 68.1 per outing to rank 64th in college basketball.
• Dedan Thomas Jr.'s team-leading 15.6 points per game rank him 216th in the country.
• The Aggies come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 3.1 boards. They are recording 31.1 rebounds per game (230th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 28.0 per outing.
• Mason Falslev is 295th in college basketball play with 6.1 rebounds per game to lead the Aggies.
• The 31.2 rebounds per game the Rebels accumulate rank 219th in the nation. Their opponents collect 32.2.
• Jeremiah Cherry is 512th in the nation with 5.3 rebounds per game, leading the Rebels.
• Utah State ranks seventh in college basketball with 107.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 139th in college basketball defensively with 92.0 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Rebels rank 217th in college basketball averaging 94.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 148th, allowing 92.3 points per 100 possessions.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!