UCSB vs CSU Bakersfield Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big West Tournament

The No. 5 seed UCSB Gauchos (19-12, 11-9 Big West) and the No. 8 seed CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (14-18, 8-12 Big West) meet in the Big West tournament Wednesday at Lee's Family Forum, tipping off at 9 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

UCSB vs. CSU Bakersfield Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Henderson, Nevada
• Arena: Lee's Family Forum

UCSB vs. CSU Bakersfield Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UCSB win (75.8%)

Before you bet on Wednesday's UCSB-CSU Bakersfield spread (UCSB -4.5) or total (142.5 points), take a look at the betting trends and insights below.

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UCSB vs. CSU Bakersfield: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• UCSB has won 11 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
• CSU Bakersfield is 11-18-0 ATS this year.
• When the spread is set as 4.5 or more this season, UCSB (8-9) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (47.1%) than CSU Bakersfield (3-10) does as the underdog (23.1%).
• The Gauchos have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered seven times in 15 opportunities at home, and they've covered four times in 13 opportunities in road games.
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Roadrunners have a better winning percentage at home (.538, 7-6-0 record) than on the road (.214, 3-11-0).
• UCSB's record against the spread in conference games is 6-13-0.
• CSU Bakersfield has beaten the spread seven times in 19 Big West games.

UCSB vs. CSU Bakersfield: Moneyline Betting Stats

• UCSB has come away with 15 wins in the 21 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Gauchos have a win-loss record of 13-2 when favored by -210 or better by oddsmakers this year.
• CSU Bakersfield has won three of the 17 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (17.6%).
• The Roadrunners are 1-10 (winning only 9.1% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +172 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UCSB has a 67.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

UCSB vs. CSU Bakersfield Head-to-Head Comparison

• UCSB's +194 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 6.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 75.1 points per game (144th in college basketball) while giving up 68.8 per contest (82nd in college basketball).
• Stephan D. Swenson leads UCSB, putting up 13 points per game (527th in the country).
• CSU Bakersfield puts up 74 points per game (173rd in college basketball) while giving up 73.7 per outing (234th in college basketball). It has a +9 scoring differential.
• Jemel Jones' 19.2 points per game leads CSU Bakersfield and ranks 35th in the country.
• The 31.1 rebounds per game the Gauchos average rank 232nd in college basketball, and are 2.7 more than the 28.4 their opponents grab per outing.
• Kenny Pohto averages 6.3 rebounds per game (ranking 262nd in college basketball) to lead the Gauchos.
• The Roadrunners are 183rd in the nation at 31.9 rebounds per game. That's 4.2 more than the 27.7 their opponents average.
• Corey Stephenson's 5.5 rebounds per game lead the Roadrunners and rank 441st in college basketball.
• UCSB ranks 59th in college basketball with 101.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 159th in college basketball defensively with 92.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Roadrunners rank 166th in college basketball averaging 96.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 250th, allowing 95.8 points per 100 possessions.

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