NCAAB
UConn vs Illinois Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - NCAA Tournament Elite Eight
The No. 1 seed UConn Huskies (34-3) and No. 3 seed Illinois Fighting Illini (29-8) will both try to secure a spot in the NCAA Tournament Final Four when they square off on Saturday at TD Garden. The matchup tips off at 6:09 PM ET.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
UConn vs. Illinois Game Info and Odds
- Game Day: Saturday, March 30, 2024
- Game Time: 6:09 PM ET
- TV Channel: TBS
- Location: Boston, Massachusetts
- Arena: TD Garden
UConn vs. Illinois Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UConn win (65.9%)
Before you bet on Saturday's UConn-Illinois spread (UConn -8.5) or over/under (154.5 points), take a look at the betting insights and trends below.
UConn vs. Illinois: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- UConn has covered 25 times in 37 games with a spread this season.
- Illinois is 23-14-0 ATS this season.
- As an 8.5-point underdog or more in 2023-24, Illinois is 1-0 against the spread compared to the 16-9 ATS record UConn racks up as an 8.5-point favorite.
- The Huskies have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered nine times in 16 games at home, and they've covered seven times in 11 games on the road.
- In 2023-24 against the spread, the Fighting Illini have a lower winning percentage at home (.500, 9-9-0 record) than away (.636, 7-4-0).
UConn vs. Illinois: Moneyline Betting Stats
- UConn has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 29 games this year and has walked away with the win 27 times (93.1%) in those games.
- The Huskies have yet to lose in 17 games when named as moneyline favorite of -430 or better.
- Illinois has won four of the seven games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (57.1%).
- The Fighting Illini have played as a moneyline underdog of +330 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies UConn has a 81.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
UConn vs. Illinois Head-to-Head Comparison
- UConn is outscoring opponents by 18.0 points per game with a +666 scoring differential overall. It puts up 81.6 points per game (21st in college basketball) and gives up 63.6 per outing (10th in college basketball).
- UConn's leading scorer, Tristen Newton, ranks 257th in the country averaging 15.3 points per game.
- Illinois' +406 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 11.0 points per game) is a result of putting up 84.2 points per game (ninth in college basketball) while allowing 73.2 per outing (223rd in college basketball).
- Terrence Shannon Jr. leads Illinois, averaging 23.5 points per game (third in college basketball).
- The Huskies pull down 38.8 rebounds per game (38th in college basketball) while allowing 30.0 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 8.8 boards per game.
- Donovan Clingan averages 7.4 rebounds per game (ranking 140th in college basketball) to lead the Huskies.
- The Fighting Illini average 41.0 rebounds per game (ninth in college basketball) while allowing 32.8 per outing to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 8.2 boards per game.
- Quincy Guerrier's 6.2 rebounds per game lead the Fighting Illini and rank 306th in the country.
- UConn's 108.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank first in college basketball, and the 84.9 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 12th in college basketball.
- The Fighting Illini's 105.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 14th in college basketball, and the 91.4 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 126th in college basketball.