UCLA vs Utah State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

A first-round NCAA Tournament matchup will see the 10th-seeded Utah State Aggies (26-7) take the court against the No. 7 seed UCLA Bruins (22-10) on Thursday at Rupp Arena. The contest starts at 9:25 p.m. ET, on TNT.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

UCLA vs. Utah State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 20, 2025
• Game time: 9:25 p.m. ET
• TV channel: TNT
• Location: Lexington, Kentucky
• Arena: Rupp Arena

UCLA vs. Utah State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UCLA win (58.4%)

See these betting insights and trends before you bet on Thursday's UCLA-Utah State spread (UCLA -5.5) or total (144.5 points).

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UCLA vs. Utah State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• UCLA has put together a 19-13-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Utah State has compiled a 16-16-0 ATS record so far this year.
• UCLA covers the spread when it is a 5.5-point favorite or more 73.3% of the time. That's less often than Utah State covers as an underdog of 5.5 or more (100%).
• The Bruins have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 12 times in 17 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered five times in 10 opportunities on the road.
• This year, the Aggies are 9-7-0 at home against the spread (.562 winning percentage). Away, they are 5-6-0 ATS (.455).

UCLA vs. Utah State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• UCLA has come away with 18 wins in the 23 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• This season, the Bruins have been victorious 13 times in 14 chances when named as a favorite of at least -220 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Utah State is 4-4 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 50% of those games).
• The Aggies have played as a moneyline underdog of +180 or longer in just one game this season, which they won.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UCLA has a 68.8% chance of walking away with the win.

UCLA vs. Utah State Head-to-Head Comparison

• UCLA's +289 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 9.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 74.8 points per game (144th in college basketball) while giving up 65.7 per contest (26th in college basketball).
• Tyler Bilodeau is 438th in college basketball with a team-high 13.6 points per game.
• Utah State is outscoring opponents by 10.9 points per game, with a +360 scoring differential overall. It puts up 80.9 points per game (30th in college basketball) and allows 70 per outing (117th in college basketball).
• Ian Martinez's team-leading 16.8 points per game rank him 128th in college basketball.
• The Bruins rank 295th in college basketball at 30 rebounds per game. That's 1.7 more than the 28.3 their opponents average.
• Kobe Johnson averages 5.9 rebounds per game (ranking 341st in college basketball) to lead the Bruins.
• The Aggies pull down 31.3 rebounds per game (215th in college basketball) while conceding 28.2 per outing to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 3.1 boards per game.
• Mason Falslev leads the Aggies with 6.2 rebounds per game (277th in college basketball).
• UCLA's 100.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 75th in college basketball, and the 88.3 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 55th in college basketball.
• The Aggies score 106.4 points per 100 possessions (10th in college basketball), while allowing 92 points per 100 possessions (140th in college basketball).

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