UCLA vs Utah State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

The No. 7 UCLA Bruins (22-10) and the No. 10 Utah State Aggies (26-7) square off on Thursday for a place in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The first-round matchup tips off at 9:25 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

UCLA vs. Utah State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 20, 2025
• Game time: 9:25 p.m. ET
• TV channel: TNT
• Location: Lexington, Kentucky
• Arena: Rupp Arena

UCLA vs. Utah State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UCLA win (58.4%)

Take a look at these betting insights and trends before you bet on Thursday's UCLA-Utah State spread (UCLA -5.5) or total (144.5 points).

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UCLA vs. Utah State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• UCLA has covered 19 times in 32 games with a spread this season.
• Utah State has covered 16 times in 32 games with a spread this year.
• UCLA covers the spread when it is a 5.5-point favorite or more 73.3% of the time. That's less often than Utah State covers as an underdog of 5.5 or more (100%).
• The Bruins have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered 12 times in 17 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered five times in 10 opportunities in road games.
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Aggies have a better winning percentage at home (.562, 9-7-0 record) than away (.455, 5-6-0).

UCLA vs. Utah State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• UCLA has been victorious in 18, or 78.3%, of the 23 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Bruins have a win-loss record of 11-1 when favored by -245 or better by oddsmakers this year.
• Utah State has won 50% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (4-4).
• The Aggies have not yet played a game with moneyline odds of +200 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UCLA has a 71% chance of walking away with the win.

UCLA vs. Utah State Head-to-Head Comparison

• UCLA's +289 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 9.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 74.8 points per game (144th in college basketball) while allowing 65.7 per contest (26th in college basketball).
• Tyler Bilodeau's 13.6 points per game lead UCLA and are 437th in college basketball.
• Utah State is outscoring opponents by 10.9 points per game, with a +360 scoring differential overall. It puts up 80.9 points per game (30th in college basketball) and gives up 70 per outing (117th in college basketball).
• Ian Martinez's 16.8 points per game paces Utah State and ranks 128th in college basketball.
• The Bruins are 295th in college basketball at 30 rebounds per game. That's 1.7 more than the 28.3 their opponents average.
• Kobe Johnson is 341st in college basketball action with 5.9 rebounds per game to lead the Bruins.
• The Aggies rank 215th in the country at 31.3 rebounds per game. That's 3.1 more than the 28.2 their opponents average.
• Mason Falslev is 278th in the country with 6.2 rebounds per game, leading the Aggies.
• UCLA ranks 75th in college basketball by averaging 100.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 55th in college basketball, allowing 88.3 points per 100 possessions.
• The Aggies rank 10th in college basketball averaging 106.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 139th, allowing 92 points per 100 possessions.

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