UCLA vs Michigan State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for February 4

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The UCLA Bruins (16-6, 7-4 Big Ten) will host the Michigan State Spartans (18-3, 9-1 Big Ten) after winning three straight home games.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

UCLA vs. Michigan State Game Info and Odds

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UCLA win (57.4%)

Take a look at these betting trends and insights before you bet on Tuesday's UCLA-Michigan State spread (UCLA -2.5) or total (139.5 points).

UCLA has put together a 12-10-0 record against the spread this season.
Michigan State has compiled a 13-8-0 ATS record so far this year.
When the spread is set as 2.5 or more this season, UCLA (8-7) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (53.3%) than Michigan State (2-1) does as the underdog (66.7%).
When playing at home, the Bruins own a better record against the spread (8-4-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (2-4-0).
In 2024-25 against the spread, the Spartans have a lower winning percentage at home (.545, 6-5-0 record) than away (.750, 3-1-0).
UCLA has four wins against the spread in 11 conference games this season.
Michigan State has beaten the spread seven times in 10 Big Ten games.

UCLA has been victorious in 12, or 75%, of the 16 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
This season, the Bruins have been victorious 11 times in 14 chances when named as a favorite of at least -142 or shorter on the moneyline.
Michigan State has gone 2-1 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 66.7% of those games).
The Spartans have a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +118 or longer.
UCLA has an implied victory probability of 58.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

UCLA outscores opponents by 11.5 points per game (scoring 76 per game to rank 135th in college basketball while allowing 64.5 per contest to rank 21st in college basketball) and has a +254 scoring differential overall.
UCLA's leading scorer, Tyler Bilodeau, ranks 366th in the nation scoring 14 points per game.
Michigan State outscores opponents by 13.1 points per game (posting 80.4 points per game, 47th in college basketball, and giving up 67.3 per contest, 58th in college basketball) and has a +275 scoring differential.
Jaden is ranked 439th in the country with a team-high 13.4 points per game.
The Bruins average 29.8 rebounds per game (306th in college basketball) while allowing 27.8 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by two boards per game.
Kobe Johnson paces the Bruins with 5.6 rebounds per game (421st in college basketball play).
The Spartans win the rebound battle by 9.2 boards on average. They record 37.1 rebounds per game, 12th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 27.9.
Jaxon Kohler tops the Spartans with 7.6 rebounds per game (103rd in college basketball).
UCLA's 101.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 63rd in college basketball, and the 85.9 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 40th in college basketball.
The Spartans' 101.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 57th in college basketball, and the 85.1 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 30th in college basketball.

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