UC Riverside vs Cal Poly Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big West Tournament

The No. 3 seed UC Riverside Highlanders (21-11, 14-6 Big West) square off against the No. 7 seed Cal Poly Mustangs (15-18, 8-12 Big West) in the Big West tournament Thursday at Lee's Family Forum, starting at 11:30 p.m. ET. Both teams will attempt to take one step closer to securing an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

UC Riverside vs. Cal Poly Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
• Game time: 11:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Henderson, Nevada
• Arena: Lee's Family Forum

UC Riverside vs. Cal Poly Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UC Riverside win (64.4%)

If you are planning on making a wager on UC Riverside-Cal Poly contest (in which UC Riverside is a 4.5-point favorite and the total is set at 162.5 points), here are some betting trends and insights for Thursday's game.

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UC Riverside vs. Cal Poly: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• UC Riverside has covered 19 times in 29 matchups with a spread this season.
• Cal Poly has put together a 15-15-0 record against the spread this year.
• When the spread is set as 4.5 or more this season, UC Riverside (4-5) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (44.4%) than Cal Poly (7-9) does as the underdog (43.8%).
• When playing at home, the Highlanders own a better record against the spread (9-3-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (10-7-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Mustangs have a better winning percentage at home (.500, 6-6-0 record) than away (.471, 8-9-0).
• UC Riverside has 12 wins against the spread in 19 conference games this year.
• Cal Poly's Big West record against the spread is 10-10-0.

UC Riverside vs. Cal Poly: Moneyline Betting Stats

• UC Riverside has been victorious in 11, or 84.6%, of the 13 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Highlanders have yet to lose in seven games when named as moneyline favorite of -205 or better.
• Cal Poly is 5-15 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 25% of those games).
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +168 or longer, the Mustangs have gone 3-12 (20%).
• UC Riverside has an implied victory probability of 67.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

UC Riverside vs. Cal Poly Head-to-Head Comparison

• UC Riverside outscores opponents by 1.4 points per game (scoring 74.9 per game to rank 144th in college basketball while allowing 73.5 per outing to rank 227th in college basketball) and has a +44 scoring differential overall.
• Barrington Hargress paces UC Riverside, averaging 20.6 points per game (eighth in the country).
• Cal Poly scores 81.8 points per game (24th in college basketball) and allows 82.5 (359th in college basketball) for a -23 scoring differential overall.
• Owen Koonce's team-leading 17.2 points per game rank him 99th in college basketball.
• The Highlanders grab 33.8 rebounds per game (73rd in college basketball) while allowing 30.4 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 3.4 boards per game.
• Joel Armotrading paces the Highlanders with 6.5 rebounds per game (231st in college basketball play).
• The Mustangs fall short in the rebound battle by an average of 3.4 boards. They are grabbing 31.1 rebounds per game (230th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 34.5.
• Koonce is 654th in the nation with 4.9 rebounds per game, leading the Mustangs.
• UC Riverside averages 95.8 points per 100 possessions on offense (179th in college basketball), and allows 94.0 points per 100 possessions (194th in college basketball).
• The Mustangs rank 176th in college basketball with 95.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 275th defensively with 96.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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