Twins vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 28

Odds updated as of 8:11 a.m.

The MLB's Monday schedule includes the Minnesota Twins taking on the Boston Red Sox.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the vital info about this game.

Twins vs Red Sox Game Info

• Minnesota Twins (50-55) vs. Boston Red Sox (57-50)
• Date: Monday, July 28, 2025
• Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: Target Field -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Coverage: MNNT and NESN

Twins vs Red Sox Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: MIN: (-112) | BOS: (-104)
• Spread: MIN: +1.5 (-192) | BOS: -1.5 (+158)
• Total: 9.5 -- Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

Twins vs Red Sox Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Simeon Woods Richardson (Twins) - 5-4, 4.14 ERA vs Richard Fitts (Red Sox) - 1-4, 4.86 ERA

The Twins will give the ball to Simeon Woods Richardson (5-4, 4.14 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 6 on the season, and the Red Sox will counter with Richard Fitts (1-4, 4.86 ERA). Woods Richardson and his team have a record of 7-7-0 against the spread when he starts. Woods Richardson's team has a record of 5-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline. The Red Sox have gone 2-6-0 ATS in Fitts' eight starts that had a set spread. The Red Sox were the underdog on the moneyline for four Fitts starts this season -- they lost every game.

Twins vs Red Sox Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Twins win (56.4%)

Twins vs Red Sox Moneyline

• The moneyline numbers for Twins vs. Red Sox reveal Minnesota as the favorite (-112) and Boston as the underdog (-104) on the road.

Twins vs Red Sox Spread

• The Red Sox are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Twins. The Red Sox are +158 to cover, while the Twins are -192 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.

Twins vs Red Sox Over/Under

• A total of 9.5 runs has been set for the Twins-Red Sox game on July 28, with the over available at -105 and the under at -115.

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Twins vs Red Sox Betting Trends

• The Twins have been favorites in 66 games this season and have come away with the win 34 times (51.5%) in those contests.
• This season Minnesota has come away with a win 34 times in 66 chances when named as a favorite of at least -112 on the moneyline.
• The Twins' games have gone over the total in 41 of their 101 opportunities.
• The Twins have an against the spread record of 50-51-0 in 101 games with a line this season.
• The Red Sox have gone 16-20 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 44.4% of those games).
• When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -104 or longer, Boston has gone 15-19 (44.1%).
• In the 106 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Red Sox, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 48 times (48-54-4).
• The Red Sox have collected a 58-48-0 record against the spread this season (covering 54.7% of the time).

Twins Player Leaders

• Byron Buxton leads Minnesota in OBP (.343), slugging percentage (.561) and total hits (92) this season. He has a .282 batting average.
• Among qualified batters in baseball, his batting average ranks 28th, his on-base percentage ranks 54th, and he is seventh in slugging.
• Trevor Larnach is batting .244 with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 34 walks. He's slugging .405 with an on-base percentage of .314.
• Among qualifying batters, his batting average ranks him 111th, his on-base percentage 107th, and his slugging percentage 95th.
• Ty France is batting .254 with a .363 slugging percentage and 44 RBI this year.
• Carlos Correa has been key for Minnesota with 88 hits, an OBP of .318 plus a slugging percentage of .387.
• Correa brings a four-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with a double and three walks.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Jarren Duran has racked up a team-high OBP (.326) and slugging percentage (.440). He's batting .259.
• He is 78th in batting average, 75th in on-base percentage and 67th in slugging percentage among all qualified batters in the majors.
• Duran enters this game on a three-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with a double, two triples, a home run, two walks and five RBIs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela paces his team with 93 hits. He has a batting average of .265 while slugging .456 with an on-base percentage of .306.
• Including all qualifying hitters, his batting average places him 66th, his on-base percentage is 121st, and he is 58th in slugging.
• Wilyer Abreu is hitting .243 with 11 doubles, 20 home runs and 31 walks.
• Trevor Story is batting .248 with 15 doubles, 15 home runs and 20 walks.

Twins vs Red Sox Head to Head

• 5/4/2025: 5-4 MIN (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
• 5/3/2025: 4-3 MIN (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 5/2/2025: 6-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 9/22/2024: 9-3 BOS (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 9/22/2024: 8-1 BOS (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
• 9/20/2024: 4-2 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 5/5/2024: 9-2 BOS (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -184, Underdog Moneyline: +154)
• 5/4/2024: 3-1 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -178, Underdog Moneyline: +150)
• 5/3/2024: 5-2 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 6/22/2023: 6-0 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)

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