Twins vs Rays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 4

Odds updated as of 2:12 a.m.

In MLB action on Friday, the Minnesota Twins face the Tampa Bay Rays.

All the info you need to make smart wagers on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Twins vs Rays Game Info

• Minnesota Twins (41-46) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (48-39)
• Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Target Field -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Coverage: MNNT and FDSSUN

Twins vs Rays Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: MIN: (-116) | TB: (-102)
• Spread: MIN: +1.5 (-184) | TB: -1.5 (+152)
• Total: 9.5 -- Over: (-120) | Under: (-102)

Twins vs Rays Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Chris Paddack (Twins) - 3-7, 4.70 ERA vs Zack Littell (Rays) - 7-7, 3.61 ERA

The Twins will give the nod to Chris Paddack (3-7, 4.70 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 4 on the season, and the Rays will counter with Zack Littell (7-7, 3.61 ERA). Paddack's team is 7-9-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Paddack and his team have lost each of the seven games he's started as the moneyline favorite. The Rays have a 7-10-0 record against the spread in Littell's starts. The Rays are 5-3 in Littell's eight starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Twins vs Rays Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Twins win (50%)

Twins vs Rays Moneyline

• The Twins vs Rays moneyline has Minnesota as a -116 favorite, while Tampa Bay is a -102 underdog on the road.

Twins vs Rays Spread

• The Rays are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Twins. The Rays are +152 to cover, while the Twins are -184 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.

Twins vs Rays Over/Under

• Twins versus Rays, on July 4, has an over/under of 9.5, with the over being -120 and the under -102.

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Twins vs Rays Betting Trends

• The Twins have come away with 27 wins in the 53 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• This season Minnesota has come away with a win 26 times in 46 chances when named as a favorite of at least -116 on the moneyline.
• The Twins and their opponents have hit the over in 35 of their 83 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Twins have an against the spread record of 42-41-0 in 83 games with a line this season.
• The Rays have won 17 of the 34 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (50%).
• Tampa Bay has a 15-14 record (winning 51.7% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of -102 or longer.
• In the 84 games bookmakers have set an over/under for the Rays, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 34 times (34-47-3).
• The Rays are 41-43-0 against the spread this season.

Twins Player Leaders

• Byron Buxton leads Minnesota in OBP (.337) and total hits (73) this season. He's batting .272 batting average while slugging .545.
• He is 53rd in batting average, 66th in on-base percentage, and ninth in slugging among all qualifying hitters in MLB.
• Trevor Larnach is hitting .253 with 13 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 27 walks, while slugging .421 with an on-base percentage of .318.
• He ranks 89th in batting average, 98th in on-base percentage and 80th in slugging in the majors.
• Ty France has hit six homers with a team-high .364 SLG this season.
• Carlos Correa is batting .259 with a .299 OBP and 29 RBI for Minnesota this season.

Rays Player Leaders

• Junior Caminero has racked up 82 hits, a team-best for the Rays. He's batting .259 and slugging .517 with an on-base percentage of .304.
• Including all the qualifying hitters in the majors, his batting average is 79th, his on-base percentage ranks 121st, and he is 16th in slugging.
• Caminero takes a four-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is batting .238 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBIs.
• Yandy Diaz leads his team with a .474 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .291 with an on-base percentage of .347.
• Including all qualifying players, he is 20th in batting average, 54th in on-base percentage and 41st in slugging percentage.
• Brandon Lowe has 11 doubles, 19 home runs and 23 walks while batting .274.
• Jonathan Aranda has a .401 on-base percentage to lead his team.

Twins vs Rays Head to Head

• 5/28/2025: 5-0 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 5/27/2025: 4-2 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 5/26/2025: 7-2 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 9/5/2024: 4-3 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 9/4/2024: 9-4 TB (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 9/3/2024: 2-1 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 9/2/2024: 5-4 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 6/20/2024: 7-6 TB (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 6/19/2024: 3-2 TB (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -168, Underdog Moneyline: +142)
• 6/18/2024: 7-6 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -188, Underdog Moneyline: +158)

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