Twins vs Pirates Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 11

Odds updated as of 8:13 a.m.

The MLB slate on Friday includes the Minnesota Twins taking on the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the most important information about this game.

Twins vs Pirates Game Info

• Minnesota Twins (45-48) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (38-56)
• Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
• Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Target Field -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Coverage: MNNT and SportsNet PT

Twins vs Pirates Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: MIN: (-118) | PIT: (-100)
• Spread: MIN: +1.5 (-220) | PIT: -1.5 (+180)
• Total: 6.5 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (-100)

Twins vs Pirates Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Joe Ryan (Twins) - 8-4, 2.76 ERA vs Paul Skenes (Pirates) - 4-7, 1.94 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Twins will send Joe Ryan (8-4) to the mound, while Paul Skenes (4-7) will get the nod for the Pirates. Ryan's team is 8-9-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Ryan's team has been victorious in 50% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 7-7. The Pirates are 7-12-0 ATS in Skenes' 19 starts with a set spread. The Pirates have a 3-2 record in Skenes' five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Twins vs Pirates Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Twins win (53%)

Twins vs Pirates Moneyline

• The Twins vs Pirates moneyline has Minnesota as a -118 favorite, while Pittsburgh is a -100 underdog on the road.

Twins vs Pirates Spread

• The Pirates are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Twins. The Pirates are +180 to cover, while the Twins are -220 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.

Twins vs Pirates Over/Under

• A combined run total of 6.5 has been set for Twins-Pirates on July 11, with the over at -122 and the under at -100.

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Twins vs Pirates Betting Trends

• The Twins have come away with 30 wins in the 57 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• Minnesota has a record of 26-16 when favored by -118 or more this year.
• The Twins and their opponents have gone over in 37 of their 89 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Twins are 46-43-0 against the spread in their 89 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Pirates have gone 24-38 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 38.7% of those games).
• In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -100 or longer, Pittsburgh has a 20-34 record (winning only 37% of its games).
• The Pirates have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 87 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 33 of those games (33-51-3).
• The Pirates have collected a 44-43-0 record against the spread this season.

Twins Player Leaders

• Byron Buxton leads Minnesota with 77 hits and an OBP of .338 this season. He has a .270 batting average and a slugging percentage of .544.
• He is 57th in batting average, 64th in on-base percentage, and 12th in slugging among qualified hitters in baseball.
• Trevor Larnach leads Minnesota in slugging percentage (.419) thanks to 28 extra-base hits. He's batting .253 with an on-base percentage of .317.
• He ranks 96th in batting average, 103rd in on-base percentage and 90th in slugging in the major leagues.
• Ty France has 80 hits this season and has a slash line of .252/.312/.360.
• Ryan Jeffers has seven home runs, 33 RBI and a batting average of .248 this season.
• Jeffers brings a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .471 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and four RBIs.

Pirates Player Leaders

• Oneil Cruz has put up 61 hits, a team-best for the Pirates. He's batting .204 and slugging .411 with an on-base percentage of .313.
• Including all qualifying hitters in the big leagues, he ranks 156th in batting average, 109th in on-base percentage and 96th in slugging percentage.
• Bryan Reynolds' .372 slugging percentage paces his team. He has a batting average of .227 with an on-base percentage of .290.
• Including all qualifying hitters, he is 140th in batting average, 143rd in on-base percentage and 131st in slugging percentage.
• Andrew McCutchen has accumulated a team-high .339 on-base percentage.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 10 doubles, two triples, a home run and 14 walks while batting .267.

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