Timberwolves vs. Warriors Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 6

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game Info

• Date: Tuesday, May 6, 2025
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Target Center -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Coverage: TNT, truTV, and MAX

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 6-point favorites in Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Golden State Warriors at Target Center on Tuesday, beginning at 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT, truTV, and MAX. The point total is 208.5 in the matchup.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Timberwolves win (62.1%)

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Betting Trends

• The Timberwolves have put together a 39-42-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Warriors are 41-38-3 against the spread this season.
• This season, 45 of the Timberwolves' games have gone over the point total.
• Warriors games this year have gone over the point total 41 times in 82 opportunities (50%).
• Against the spread, Minnesota has performed worse at home, covering 17 times in 41 home games, and 22 times in 41 road games.
• The Timberwolves have eclipsed the total more often when playing at home, hitting the over in 25 of 41 home matchups (61%). On the road, they have hit the over in 20 of 41 games (48.8%).
• Golden State has performed better against the spread on the road (23-16-2) than at home (18-22-1) this season.
• Warriors games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (20 times out of 41) than on the road (21 of 41) this season.

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards is averaging 27.6 points, 4.5 assists and 5.7 boards.
• Julius Randle is averaging 18.7 points, 4.7 assists and 7.1 boards.
• Rudy Gobert averages 12 points, 10.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists.
• Naz Reid's numbers on the season are 14.2 points, 6 boards and 2.3 assists per contest, shooting 46.2% from the field and 37.9% from downtown, with an average of 2.2 made 3-pointers.
• Jaden McDaniels is averaging 12.2 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2 assists.

Warriors Leaders

• Stephen Curry averages 24.5 points, 4.4 boards and 6 assists. He is also sinking 44.8% of his shots from the field and 39.7% from 3-point range, with 4.4 triples per game (first in league).
• The Warriors are getting 17.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.4 assists per game from Jimmy Butler.
• The Warriors are receiving 9 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game from Draymond Green.
• The Warriors get 11.7 points per game from Brandin Podziemski, plus 5.1 rebounds and 3.4 assists.
• The Warriors receive 11.1 points per game from Buddy Hield, plus 3.2 boards and 1.6 assists.

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