Thunder vs. Rockets Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 3

Thunder vs. Rockets Game Info

• Date: Monday, March 3, 2025
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: NBA TV, FDSOK, and SCHN

The Oklahoma City Thunder (49-11) are big, 10.5-point favorites as they attempt to extend a three-game winning streak when they host the Houston Rockets (37-23) on Monday, March 3, 2025 at Paycom Center. The matchup airs at 8 p.m. ET on NBA TV, FDSOK, and SCHN. The matchup has an over/under of 226.5 points.

Thunder vs. Rockets Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Rockets Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (67.2%)

Thunder vs. Rockets Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread 37 times in 60 games with a set spread.
• The Rockets have 32 wins against the spread in 60 games this season.
• Thunder games have gone over the total 33 times this season.
• Rockets games this season have hit the over on 31 of 60 set point totals (51.7%).
• Against the spread, Oklahoma City has performed better when playing at home, covering 20 times in 30 home games, and 17 times in 30 road games.
• The Thunder have exceeded the total in 18 of 30 home games (60%), compared to 15 of 30 road games (50%).
• Houston's winning percentage against the spread at home is .500 (15-14-1). Away, it is .567 (17-13-0).
• In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Rockets' games have finished above the over/under at home (40%, 12 of 30) compared to on the road (63.3%, 19 of 30).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's numbers on the season are 32.3 points, 5.2 boards and 6.2 assists per contest, shooting 52.4% from the floor and 36.9% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.1 made treys.
• Jalen Williams is averaging 21.3 points, 5.2 assists and 5.5 boards.
• Isaiah Hartenstein averages 11 points, 11.4 rebounds and 4 assists, shooting 57% from the floor.
• Aaron Wiggins is averaging 11.5 points, 1.6 assists and 3.7 boards.
• Luguentz Dort is averaging 9.8 points, 1.6 assists and 4.1 boards.

Rockets Leaders

• Alperen Sengun averages 19.1 points for the Rockets, plus 10.5 rebounds and 4.8 assists.
• Jalen Green averages 21.6 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.1 assists. He is also making 42.9% of his shots from the floor and 35.9% from beyond the arc, with 3 treys per game.
• The Rockets are getting 13.9 points, 8.2 boards and 3.5 assists per game from Amen Thompson.
• The Rockets receive 13.5 points per game from Dillon Brooks, plus 3.9 boards and 1.6 assists.
• Tari Eason averages 11.6 points, 6.2 boards and 1.2 assists. He is sinking 48.5% of his shots from the floor and 35.6% from 3-point range, with 1.1 treys per contest.

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