Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 9

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Info

• Date: Sunday, March 9, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: ABC and ESPN+

The Western's top two teams, the Oklahoma City Thunder (52-11) and the Denver Nuggets (41-22), take the court at Paycom Center on Sunday, March 9, 2025 at 1 p.m. ET on ABC and ESPN+. The Thunder are favored by 7.5 points at home. The matchup has an over/under of 240.5 points.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (72.7%)

Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

• The Thunder have registered a 39-23-1 record against the spread this season.
• Against the spread, the Nuggets are 31-31-1 this season.
• Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 34 times this season.
• Nuggets games this year have gone over the total in 37 of 63 opportunities (58.7%).
• When playing at home, Oklahoma City owns a better record against the spread (21-10-1) compared to its ATS record in road games (18-13-0).
• The Thunder have hit the over on the total in a higher percentage of games at home (59.4%) than away games (48.4%).
• Denver's winning percentage against the spread at home is .516 (16-15-0). Away, it is .469 (15-16-1).
• In terms of the over/under, Nuggets games have finished over more frequently at home (20 of 31, 64.5%) than away (17 of 32, 53.1%).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.8 points, 5.1 boards and 6.2 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.8 steals (second in NBA) and 1 block.
• Jalen Williams averages 21.4 points, 5.5 boards and 5.2 assists, shooting 47.8% from the floor and 36% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Isaiah Hartenstein averages 10.9 points, 11.3 boards and 4 assists, shooting 57.1% from the floor.
• Aaron Wiggins' numbers on the season are 11.8 points, 3.8 boards and 1.7 assists per contest, shooting 50.2% from the floor and 39.6% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.7 made 3-pointers.
• Luguentz Dort is averaging 9.7 points, 1.7 assists and 4.1 boards.

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic's numbers on the season are 28.9 points, 12.9 boards and 10.6 assists per game. He is also sinking 57.7% of his shots from the field (ninth in league) and 43.9% from 3-point range (sixth in NBA), with an average of 1.9 triples.
• Jamal Murray's numbers on the season are 21.4 points, 3.8 rebounds and 6.1 assists per contest. He is draining 47.6% of his shots from the field and 39.9% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.4 treys.
• The Nuggets are receiving 18.4 points, 6.8 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game from Michael Porter Jr..
• The Nuggets receive 15.3 points per game from Christian Braun, plus 5.1 rebounds and 2.3 assists.
• Per game, Russell Westbrook gives the Nuggets 12.9 points, 4.9 rebounds and 6.1 assists, plus 1.4 steals and 0.5 blocks.

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