Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 10

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Info

• Date: Monday, March 10, 2025
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: NBA TV, FDSOK, ALT, and KTVD

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder (53-11) are 9-point favorites against Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (41-23) Monday, March 10, 2025 at Paycom Center. The game begins at 8 p.m. ET on NBA TV, FDSOK, ALT, and KTVD. The point total for the matchup is set at 238.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (72.8%)

Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

• The Thunder have put together a 40-23-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Nuggets have played 64 games, with 31 wins against the spread.
• Games involving the Thunder have hit the over 34 times this season.
• The Nuggets have gone over the point total 57.8% of the time this year (37 of 64 games with a set point total).
• At home, Oklahoma City sports a better record against the spread (22-10-1) compared to its ATS record in away games (18-13-0).
• The Thunder have eclipsed the over/under more consistently at home, hitting the over in 19 of 33 home matchups (57.6%). On the road, they have hit the over in 15 of 31 games (48.4%).
• Denver's winning percentage against the spread at home is .516 (16-15-0). On the road, it is .455 (15-17-1).
• Nuggets games have gone above the over/under 64.5% of the time at home (20 of 31), and 51.5% of the time away (17 of 33).

Thunder Leaders

• Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.9 points, 6.2 assists and 5.1 boards.
• Jalen Williams is averaging 21.4 points, 5.3 assists and 5.5 boards.
• Isaiah Hartenstein's numbers on the season are 10.9 points, 11.3 rebounds and 4 assists per contest, shooting 57.6% from the field.
• Aaron Wiggins is averaging 11.7 points, 1.7 assists and 3.8 rebounds.
• Luguentz Dort's numbers on the season are 9.6 points, 4.1 boards and 1.7 assists per game, shooting 41.9% from the field and 39.1% from downtown, with an average of 2.2 made treys.

Nuggets Leaders

• Per game, Jokic provides the Nuggets 28.8 points, 12.9 boards and 10.5 assists. He also averages 1.8 steals (second in league) and 0.7 blocks.
• The Nuggets get 21.3 points per game from Jamal Murray, plus 3.7 boards and 6.1 assists.
• Michael Porter Jr. averages 18.5 points, 6.9 boards and 2.1 assists. He is making 50.8% of his shots from the field and 40.2% from beyond the arc, with 2.6 triples per contest.
• Christian Braun's numbers on the season are 15.3 points, 5.1 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. He is making 57.2% of his shots from the floor and 38.6% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.1 triples.
• Russell Westbrook averages 12.8 points, 5 rebounds and 6.1 assists. He is making 45.9% of his shots from the field and 33.2% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 treys per game.

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