The Open Championship: Special Prop Best Bets

There is only one men's major left on the 2024 golf schedule.

The 152nd Open Championship will be held at Royal Troon this week.

Which special bets look interesting?

All golf odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

The Open Championship Event Info

Royal Troon Course Info

For course information and key stats, check out this week's Open Championship Best Bets, Course Info, and Key Stats piece here on FanDuel Research.

The Open Championship Special Prop Best Bets

These picks stand out relative to their FanDuel Sportsbook golf betting odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. All stats cited below originate at datagolf and reference ranks relative to the field over the past 50 rounds unless otherwise noted.

Top In Region Best Bets

Top Danish

Rasmus Hojgaard (+165)

The Top Dane market includes Rasmus Hojgaard (+165), Nicolai Hojgaard (+190), Thorbjorn Olesen (+280), and Jacob Skov Olesen (+700), so it's sort of a three-man group.

Rasmus, of the quartet, leads in true strokes gained per round at a mark of +0.70. Thorbjorn is at a +0.17 with Nicolai at a -0.12. Including amateur data, Jacob is at a -0.92.

My simulation model for this market likes Rasmus to be +160.

Top German

Stephan Jaeger (+150)

Stephan Jaeger is in a four-man group for Top German along with Yannik Paul (+230), Marcel Siem (+250), and Alex Cejka (+600).

Jaeger's odds have shortened in this market from +170, but my simulation model likes Jaeger closer to +135.

Jaeger, over the last 12 months, is averaging +0.68 true strokes gained per round, via datagolf. Paul's +0.15 is the only other mark that's positive in that span.

Over the last 50 rounds, his +0.49 is the only positive mark, as well.

Open Championship: To Make Cut Best Bets

Russell Henley To Make the Cut (-230)

There's value on Henley here to make the cut. While he's not a long hitter, he does play majors well -- at least ones that aren't The Open.

Henley has finished T38 at the Masters, T23 at the PGA, and T7 at the U.S. Open.

Overall, Henley has made 27 of 39 career major cuts (with 13 top-25s) -- but just 4 of 9 at The Open.

A key difference for Henley has been elevated putting data this season to give him a three-year stretch of career-best form. With that in mind, the past Open history can be downgraded a bit.

Sam Burns To Make the Cut (-192)

Burns is playing some pretty good golf of late and has finished T10 at the RBC Canadian Open, T15 at the Memorial, T9 at the U.S. Open, and T55 at the Travelers Championship in his last four starts.

He did miss the cut at the Masters and the PGA Championship but actually tied his good buddy Scottie Scheffler in strokes gained: approach per round (+1.58) at the PGA. He just putted poorly.

Burns has made two of three cuts at The Open in the past, missing last year when his irons failed him. But he's a positive in all four strokes gained stats over the last six months.

Open Championship Round 1 3-Balls

Denny McCarthy (+160) over Adrian Meronk (+180) and Tayor Moore (+200) - McCarthy does a lot of damage with his putter, yes, but his overall game is just noticeably better than Meronk's and Moore's over the last six months.

Per datagolf's true strokes gained query, McCarthy is averaging +1.10 strokes gained per round with Meronk at a +0.54 and Moore at a +0.41.

My simulation model likes McCarthy at +140 here in Round 1.

Byeong-Hun An (+175) over Jason Day (+150) and Rickie Fowler (+210) - Byeong-Hun An isn't the favorite in this 3-Ball. That'd be Jason Day.

Over the last 12 months, Day's strokes gained: per round number is +0.90 -- but An's is +1.22. Fowler is down at -0.03. The gap is close between An (+0.97) and Day (+0.95) over the last six months, but the odds don't consider An the favorite. The data does.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.