The 3 Best NFL Win Total Bets for the 2024 Season

The 2024 NFL campaign is on the horizon as the season opener between the Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs is roughly a month away. Until the regular season kicks off, everyone will form opinions on teams based on offseason moves and how squads look in training camps.

Ahead of the bulk of the preseason, there are plenty of betting options in the NFL odds on FanDuel Sportsbook. One of the NFL future markets made available are NFL win totals.

With our staff already discussing the best NFL Divisional bets and NFL MVP bets, let's take a look at the best NFL win total bets for the 2024 campaign.

NFL Win Total Best Bets

Denver Broncos Under 5.5 Wins (-120)

The Denver Broncos are entering their second year with Sean Payton at head coach after producing an 8-9 record in 2023. There are quite a few reasons to expect the Broncos to take a step back in 2024 despite Payton never winning fewer than seven games in a year throughout his 16-year coaching career.

While Russell Wilson clearly didn't fit what Payton wanted at quarterback, the Broncos now have a quarterback room that features rookie Bo Nix, former first-round pick Zach Wilson, and veteran backup Jarrett Stidham. Preseason depth charts can be meaningless in the grand scheme of things, but Denver recently released their initial unofficial depth chart, and Stidham was listed as the starting signal-caller.

Being that Nix was taken with the idea of being the long-term solution under center, the Broncos will likely want him to earn the starting job before naming him the Week 1 starter. Regardless of who starts at quarterback, it's tough to have confidence in a Denver offense that averaged the seventh-fewest yards per game (298.4) in 2023 and didn't add any proven players this offseason.

Another factor working against the Broncos is their tough schedule in 2024. Besides playing in an AFC West that is run by the Chiefs, Denver will be tasked with taking on the ultra-competitive AFC North this season.

Additionally, the Broncos begin the upcoming campaign with three road games in the first four weeks, facing the Seattle Seahawks, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and New York Jets away from Empower Field. The lone home game during that stretch is versus a feisty Pittsburgh Steelers team that will have Justin Fields or a motivated Russell Wilson at quarterback.

A lack of firepower on offense will make it tough for Payton to lead the Broncos to six-plus wins in his first year having his hand-picked quarterback (Nix) in Denver.

Jacksonville Jaguars Over 8.5 Wins (-115)

Despite finishing with a 9-8 record for the second straight year in 2023, it was a disappointing season for the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jaguars seemed destined for the AFC South title for the second consecutive season with an 8-3 record through Week 12, but a 1-5 record down the stretch proved to be detrimental for Doug Pederson's group.

During the offseason, the Jaguars notably lost Calvin Ridley, Zay Jones, Darious Williams, and Rayshawn Jenkins. At the same time, Jacksonville added rookie first-round pick Brian Thomas Jr., Gabriel Davis, Arik Armstead, Darnell Savage, and Ronald Darby.

While many are still skeptical of Trevor Lawrence as a franchise signal-caller, the Jaguars signed the former No. 1 pick to a five-year, $275 million deal. Lawrence has a chance to take a step forward in his development in his third year with Pederson at the helm.

On the defensive side of the ball, there is some excitement upon the team hiring Ryan Nielsen as their new defensive coordinator. Nielsen was the defensive coordinator of the Atlanta Falcons in 2023, helping them achieve the 14th-best completion percentage over expected (-0.01) and the 5th-best defensive passing success rate (58.7%), via NextGenStats.

Having a defense that features Armstead, Josh Hines-Allen, Devin Lloyd, Foyesade Oluokun, Travon Walker, and Tyson Campbell is plenty enough for Nielsen to have success on defense in 2024. Hines-Allen is coming off a 2023 season where -- according to PFF -- he earned the 11th-best pass-rushing grade (89.4) and the 4th-most total pressures (66) among defenders with 300-plus pass-rush snaps.

Aside from winning nine games in back-to-back years, the Jaguars play in an AFC South division that has a ton of uncertainty outside of the preseason hype for the Houston Texans. With Jacksonville going a bit under the radar during training camp, they have the pieces to win nine-plus games again in 2024.

Kansas City Chiefs Over 11.5 Wins (-118)

Getting 12-plus wins in the NFL is easier said than done, but the Chiefs are no strangers to dominating since Patrick Mahomes took over as the starting quarterback in 2018. From 2018 to 2022, Kansas City won 12-plus games in each of those years.

While the Chiefs captured their second straight Super Bowl in 2023, they managed to win only 11 games in the regular season. This was due in large part to Kansas City's lack of pass-catching options not named Travis Kelce or Rashee Rice. En route to winning back-to-back Lombardis, Kelce and Rice both notched a yards per route run of 2.25 or higher last season. Meanwhile, the Chiefs had just one other player (Mecole Hardman) who finished with a yards per route run higher than 1.36.

The bad news for the rest of the league is that Kansas City didn't waste any time bolstering their offense, adding veteran Marquise Brown and rookie first-round pick Xavier Worthy, giving Mahomes two vertical weapons who can make this aerial attack even more dynamic.

As for the defense, there is still plenty of continuity with legendary defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo remaining on Andy Reid's coaching staff. Despite losing L'Jarius Sneed, Willie Gay Jr., and Mike Edwards in the offseason, the Chiefs still have a formidable defense with Chris Jones, George Karlaftis, Nick Bolton, Justin Reid, and Trent McDuffie.

During last season's Super Bowl run, the Chiefs' D had the fourth-best sack rate (7.7%) and fourth-best defensive passing success rate (59.4%). Even with a few departures, there's no reason to believe Kansas City's defense will take a massive hit in 2024.

Within the AFC West, the Chiefs will face the Broncos and Las Vegas Raiders -- two teams with question marks at quarterback -- while also taking on a new-look Los Angeles Chargers squad. That accounts for six of KC's games. In all, the Chiefs have the ninth-easiest schedule going by opponent win totals.

With the Chiefs looking to win three Super Bowls in a row, 12-plus wins is undoubtedly in the realm of possibility for a Mahomes-led team that should be better on offense than it was a season ago.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.