Texas Tech vs UNC Wilmington Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

The No. 3 seed Texas Tech Red Raiders (25-8) will try to defeat the No. 14 seed UNC Wilmington Seahawks (27-7) in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday at INTRUST Bank Arena. This contest tips off at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Texas Tech vs. UNC Wilmington Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 20, 2025
• Game time: 10:10 p.m. ET
• TV channel: truTV
• Location: Wichita, Kansas
• Arena: INTRUST Bank Arena

Texas Tech vs. UNC Wilmington Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Texas Tech win (75.3%)

Texas Tech is a 15.5-point favorite over UNC Wilmington on Thursday and the over/under has been set at 143.5 points. Here's a few betting trends and insights before making an informed wager on the outing.

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Texas Tech vs. UNC Wilmington: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Texas Tech is 17-16-0 ATS this season.
• UNC Wilmington has put together a 19-12-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Texas Tech covers the spread when it is a 15.5-point favorite or more 50% of the time. That's less often than UNC Wilmington covers as an underdog of 15.5 or more (100%).
• The Red Raiders sport a worse record against the spread in home games (10-8-0) than they do in away games (7-3-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Seahawks have a better winning percentage at home (.688, 11-5-0 record) than away (.615, 8-5-0).

Texas Tech vs. UNC Wilmington: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Texas Tech has come away with 20 wins in the 26 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Red Raiders have not lost in eight games this year when favored by -1786 or better on the moneyline.
• UNC Wilmington has won three of the five games it was the moneyline underdog this season (60%).
• The Seahawks have played as a moneyline underdog of +920 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Texas Tech has a 94.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Texas Tech vs. UNC Wilmington Head-to-Head Comparison

• Texas Tech outscores opponents by 13.3 points per game (scoring 80.9 per game to rank 30th in college basketball while allowing 67.6 per outing to rank 54th in college basketball) and has a +440 scoring differential overall.
• JT Toppin paces Texas Tech, recording 18.2 points per game (68th in college basketball).
• UNC Wilmington puts up 79.4 points per game (52nd in college basketball) while giving up 69.9 per outing (114th in college basketball). It has a +322 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 9.5 points per game.
• UNC Wilmington's leading scorer, Donovan Newby, ranks 301st in the country, putting up 14.6 points per game.
• The 33.2 rebounds per game the Red Raiders average rank 107th in the country, and are 3.9 more than the 29.3 their opponents collect per outing.
• Toppin leads the team with 9.2 rebounds per game (22nd in college basketball action).
• The Seahawks win the rebound battle by 8.3 boards on average. They collect 35.9 rebounds per game, 18th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 27.6.
• Sean Moore's 6.5 rebounds per game lead the Seahawks and rank 233rd in the country.
• Texas Tech averages 105.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (12th in college basketball), and gives up 88.5 points per 100 possessions (59th in college basketball).
• The Seahawks' 102.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 31st in college basketball, and the 90.6 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 104th in college basketball.

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