Texas Southern vs Alabama State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SWAC Tournament

The No. 4 seed Texas Southern Tigers (15-16, 12-6 SWAC) and the No. 5 seed Alabama State Hornets (16-15, 12-6 SWAC) will try to move on in the SWAC tournament on Thursday as they square off at 2 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Texas Southern vs. Alabama State Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
- Game time: 2 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN+
- Location: College Park, Georgia
- Arena: Gateway Center Arena
Texas Southern vs. Alabama State Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Texas Southern win (57.1%)
Take a look at some betting trends and insights for Texas Southern (-1.5) versus Alabama State on Thursday. The over/under has been set at 136.5 points for this game.
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Texas Southern vs. Alabama State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Texas Southern has won 13 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 15 times.
- Alabama State has won 12 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
- As a 1.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Texas Southern is 8-3 against the spread compared to the 6-6 ATS record Alabama State racks up as a 1.5-point underdog.
- In home games, the Tigers sport a better record against the spread (6-4-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (7-11-0).
- The Hornets' winning percentage against the spread at home is .400 (4-6-0). Away, it is .467 (7-8-0).
- Texas Southern has beaten the spread 11 times in 18 conference games.
- Against the spread in SWAC games, Alabama State is 7-11-0 this season.
Texas Southern vs. Alabama State: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Texas Southern has won in nine, or 81.8%, of the 11 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
- The Tigers have a mark of 9-3 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -110 or better on the moneyline.
- Alabama State has a 3-9 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 25% of those games).
- The Hornets have a 3-9 record (winning just 25% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of -110 or longer.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Texas Southern has a 52.4% chance of walking away with the win.
Texas Southern vs. Alabama State Head-to-Head Comparison
- Texas Southern averages 72.5 points per game (218th in college basketball) while giving up 71.7 per outing (176th in college basketball). It has a +23 scoring differential overall.
- Kavion McClain leads Texas Southern, averaging 13.9 points per game (393rd in college basketball).
- Alabama State scores 73.8 points per game (181st in college basketball) and gives up 72.9 (210th in college basketball) for a +30 scoring differential overall.
- Amarr Knox leads Alabama State, averaging 15 points per game (269th in college basketball).
- The Tigers rank 82nd in the nation at 33.6 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 34.4 their opponents average.
- Kenny Hunter tops the Tigers with 5.5 rebounds per game (448th in college basketball play).
- The 32.1 rebounds per game the Hornets accumulate rank 173rd in college basketball, 3.6 fewer than the 35.7 their opponents pull down.
- Antonio Madlock is 181st in the nation with 6.9 rebounds per game, leading the Hornets.
- Texas Southern scores 88.1 points per 100 possessions (333rd in college basketball), while giving up 87.2 points per 100 possessions (36th in college basketball).
- The Hornets average 93.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (240th in college basketball), and concede 92.3 points per 100 possessions (148th in college basketball).
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