Tennessee vs Kentucky Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for February 11
The Tennessee Volunteers (20-4, 7-4 SEC) will try to extend a three-game winning streak when they visit the Kentucky Wildcats (16-7, 5-5 SEC) on February 11, 2025 at Rupp Arena.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Tuesday, February 11, 2025
- Game time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV channel: ESPN
- Location: Lexington, Kentucky
- Arena: Rupp Arena
Tennessee vs. Kentucky Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Kentucky win (51.6%)
See the betting trends and insights below before making a wager on Tuesday's Tennessee-Kentucky spread (Tennessee -2.5) or over/under (149.5 points).
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Tennessee vs. Kentucky: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Tennessee is 15-9-0 ATS this season.
- Kentucky has covered 11 times in 23 games with a spread this year.
- As a 2.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Kentucky is 4-1 against the spread compared to the 12-8 ATS record Tennessee puts up as a 2.5-point favorite.
- The Volunteers have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered nine times in 14 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered four times in seven opportunities in away games.
- The Wildcats' winning percentage against the spread at home is .500 (7-7-0). Away, it is .333 (2-4-0).
- Tennessee's record against the spread in conference games is 6-5-0.
- Kentucky's SEC record against the spread is 5-5-0.
Tennessee vs. Kentucky: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Tennessee has been the moneyline favorite in 18 games this season and has come away with the win 16 times (88.9%) in those contests.
- The Volunteers have a mark of 15-2 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -137 or better on the moneyline.
- Kentucky has won four of the five games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (80%).
- The Wildcats have a record of 4-1 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer (80%).
- Tennessee has an implied victory probability of 57.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Tennessee vs. Kentucky Head-to-Head Comparison
- Tennessee has a +372 scoring differential, topping opponents by 15.5 points per game. It is putting up 74.8 points per game to rank 165th in college basketball and is allowing 59.3 per outing to rank third in college basketball.
- Chaz Lanier's 17.7 points per game lead Tennessee and are 81st in the nation.
- Kentucky is outscoring opponents by 10.1 points per game, with a +234 scoring differential overall. It puts up 86.7 points per game (third in college basketball) and gives up 76.6 per outing (307th in college basketball).
- Otega Oweh's team-leading 16 points per game rank him 171st in the country.
- The 35.1 rebounds per game the Volunteers average rank 47th in college basketball, and are 8.1 more than the 27 their opponents collect per outing.
- Igor Milicic Jr. tops the Volunteers with eight rebounds per game (72nd in college basketball action).
- The 35.9 rebounds per game the Wildcats accumulate rank 27th in college basketball, four more than the 31.9 their opponents pull down.
- Amari Williams is 31st in the nation with nine rebounds per game, leading the Wildcats.
- Tennessee ranks 91st in college basketball with 99.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and second in college basketball defensively with 79 points conceded per 100 possessions.
- The Wildcats record 106.8 points per 100 possessions (ninth in college basketball), while giving up 94.3 points per 100 possessions (224th in college basketball).
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