Star NBA Player Prop Trends: Heat vs. Nuggets (Game 4)

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The Denver Nuggets took back homecourt advantage in the NBA Finals when they beat the Miami Heat in Game 3.

Game 4 is tonight, and the Heat are 3.5-point underdogs.

Along with the outright NBA betting odds for that matchup, we have NBA player props to dig into.

Here are some trends for the stars in Game 4 including their over/under rate versus the given props and recent and long-term averages.

All NBA odds and data via FanDuel Sportsbook.

Nikola Jokic Game 4 Player Props

Nikola Jokic	Points	Rebounds	Assists	3Pt Makes
Prop	30.5	13.5	10.5	1.5
Over Prop % (All Games)	27.8%	30.0%	35.6%	27.8%
Under Prop % (All Games)	72.2%	70.0%	64.4%	72.2%
Per Game (All Games)	25.1	11.9	9.7	1.0
Over Prop % (Playoffs)	38.9%	50.0%	55.6%	55.6%
Under Prop % (Playoffs)	61.1%	50.0%	44.4%	44.4%
Per Game (Playoffs)	30.5	13.4	10.1	1.7
Last 5 Games	30.8	12.4	9.8	1.8
Last 10 Games	32.5	12.7	11.0	1.6
In Wins (All)	24.7	12.6	10.5	0.9
In Losses (All)	26.2	10.2	7.7	1.3

Jimmy Butler Game 4 Player Props

Jimmy Butler	Points	Rebounds	Assists	3Pt Makes
Prop	26.5	6.5	6.5	1.5
Over Prop % (All Games)	34.1%	40.9%	31.8%	17.0%
Under Prop % (All Games)	65.9%	59.1%	68.2%	83.0%
Per Game (All Games)	23.6	5.9	5.4	0.7
Over Prop % (Playoffs)	55.0%	55.0%	35.0%	40.0%
Under Prop % (Playoffs)	45.0%	45.0%	65.0%	60.0%
Per Game (Playoffs)	27.3	6.6	5.9	1.3
Last 5 Games	22.8	6.2	6.8	1.8
Last 10 Games	23.5	6.6	6.3	1.2
In Wins (All)	24.6	6.4	5.8	0.7
In Losses (All)	22.2	5.3	4.8	0.7

Jamal Murray Game 4 Player Props

Jamal Murray	Points	Rebounds	Assists	3Pt Makes
Prop	25.5	5.5	7.5	3.5
Over Prop % (All Games)	28.2%	22.4%	30.6%	31.8%
Under Prop % (All Games)	71.8%	77.6%	69.4%	68.2%
Per Game (All Games)	21.2	4.2	6.2	2.7
Over Prop % (Playoffs)	61.1%	44.4%	38.9%	44.4%
Under Prop % (Playoffs)	38.9%	55.6%	61.1%	55.6%
Per Game (Playoffs)	27.4	5.7	6.8	3.1
Last 5 Games	28	6	8.2	2.6
Last 10 Games	28.1	5.9	6.8	3.0
In Wins (All)	23.4	4.6	6.6	3.1
In Losses (All)	16.8	3.6	5.5	1.9

Bam Adebayo Game 4 Player Props

Bam Adebayo	Points	Rebounds	Blocks
Prop	20.5	10.5	0.5
Over Prop % (All Games)	39.6%	34.7%	56.4%
Under Prop % (All Games)	60.4%	65.3%	43.6%
Per Game (All Games)	19.7	9.2	0.8
Over Prop % (Playoffs)	33.3%	33.3%	61.9%
Under Prop % (Playoffs)	66.7%	66.7%	38.1%
Per Game (Playoffs)	17.7	9.7	0.7
Last 5 Games	18.4	12.4	1.0
Last 10 Games	17.3	10.3	0.7
In Wins (All)	20.6	9.8	0.8
In Losses (All)	18.4	8.5	0.8

Michael Porter Jr. Game 4 Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.	Points	Rebounds	3Pt Makes
Prop	10.5	6.5	1.5
Over Prop % (All Games)	81.2%	35.3%	77.6%
Under Prop % (All Games)	18.8%	64.7%	22.4%
Per Game (All Games)	16.4	6.0	2.9
Over Prop % (Playoffs)	72.2%	66.7%	72.2%
Under Prop % (Playoffs)	27.8%	33.3%	27.8%
Per Game (Playoffs)	13.3	8.1	2.5
Last 5 Games	10	9.2	2.0
Last 10 Games	12.1	8.6	2.4
In Wins (All)	17.2	6.4	3.0
In Losses (All)	14.6	5.1	2.7

Caleb Martin Game 4 Player Props

Caleb Martin	Points	Rebounds	3Pt Makes
Prop	9.5	4.5	1.5
Over Prop % (All Games)	47.9%	51.0%	40.6%
Under Prop % (All Games)	52.1%	49.0%	59.4%
Per Game (All Games)	10.2	5.0	1.4
Over Prop % (Playoffs)	71.4%	52.4%	66.7%
Under Prop % (Playoffs)	28.6%	47.6%	33.3%
Per Game (Playoffs)	12.9	5.5	2.0
Last 5 Games	12.6	7.4	2.4
Last 10 Games	15.1	5.7	2.6
In Wins (All)	10.8	5.2	1.5
In Losses (All)	9.5	4.8	1.3

Gabe Vincent Game 4 Player Props

Gabe Vincent	Points	Assists	3Pt Makes
Prop	13.5	3.5	2.5
Over Prop % (All Games)	30.1%	32.3%	33.3%
Under Prop % (All Games)	69.9%	67.7%	66.7%
Per Game (All Games)	10.1	2.8	1.9
Over Prop % (Playoffs)	55.0%	60.0%	50.0%
Under Prop % (Playoffs)	45.0%	40.0%	50.0%
Per Game (Playoffs)	13.6	3.7	2.6
Last 5 Games	14.8	2.4	3.0
Last 10 Games	15.1	2.6	2.7
In Wins (All)	11.1	3.0	2.2
In Losses (All)	8.8	2.4	1.5

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

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