St. Thomas vs Denver Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Summit League Tournament

The No. 2 seed Saint Thomas Tommies (22-9, 12-4 Summit League) take on the No. 7 seed Denver Pioneers (11-20, 5-11 Summit League) in the Summit League tournament Thursday at Denny Sanford Premier Center, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET. Both teams will try to get one step closer to securing an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

St. Thomas vs. Denver Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 6, 2025
• Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Summit League Network
• Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
• Arena: Denny Sanford Premier Center

St. Thomas vs. Denver Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: St. Thomas win (82.4%)

Take a look at some betting trends and insights for St. Thomas (-9.5) versus Denver on Thursday. The over/under has been set at 143.5 points for this game.

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St. Thomas vs. Denver: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• St. Thomas has covered 15 times in 28 matchups with a spread this season.
• Denver has compiled a 16-12-0 ATS record so far this year.
• When the spread is set as 9.5 or more this season, St. Thomas (4-3) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (57.1%) than Denver (8-3) does as the underdog (72.7%).
• The Tommies have done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (7-4-0) than they have in road tilts (7-8-0).
• Against the spread, the Pioneers have had better results on the road (10-5-0) than at home (6-5-0).
• Against the spread, in conference games, St. Thomas is 8-8-0 this season.
• Denver has 10 wins against the spread in 16 Summit League games this season.

St. Thomas vs. Denver: Moneyline Betting Stats

• St. Thomas has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 20 games this year and has walked away with the win 17 times (85%) in those games.
• The Tommies have been a -529 moneyline favorite on seven occasions this season and won every game.
• Denver has won six of the 25 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (24%).
• The Pioneers have played 10 times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +390 or longer, and lost each game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies St. Thomas has a 84.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

St. Thomas vs. Denver Head-to-Head Comparison

• St. Thomas averages 83.5 points per game (12th in college basketball) while allowing 75.1 per outing (274th in college basketball). It has a +259 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 8.4 points per game.
• St. Thomas' leading scorer, Miles Barnstable, is 289th in the nation averaging 14.7 points per game.
• Denver has been outscored by 4.8 points per game (posting 72.7 points per game, 217th in college basketball, while allowing 77.5 per outing, 320th in college basketball) and has a -149 scoring differential.
• DeAndre Craig is ranked 447th in the country with a team-high 13.5 points per game.
• The Tommies are 337th in the country at 28.4 rebounds per game. That's 3.6 fewer than the 32 their opponents average.
• Kendall Blue is 795th in college basketball action with 4.5 rebounds per game to lead the Tommies.
• The 27.5 rebounds per game the Pioneers accumulate rank 348th in the country, 3.4 fewer than the 30.9 their opponents grab.
• Nicholas Shogbonyo leads the team with 4.5 rebounds per game (795th in college basketball).
• St. Thomas ranks third in college basketball by averaging 108.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 291st in college basketball, allowing 97.5 points per 100 possessions.
• The Pioneers rank 208th in college basketball averaging 94.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 342nd, allowing 100.8 points per 100 possessions.

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