St. Thomas vs Denver Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Summit League Tournament

The No. 2 seed Saint Thomas Tommies (22-9, 12-4 Summit League) square off in the Summit League tournament against the No. 7 seed Denver Pioneers (11-20, 5-11 Summit League) on Thursday at Denny Sanford Premier Center, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

St. Thomas vs. Denver Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 6, 2025
• Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Summit League Network
• Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
• Arena: Denny Sanford Premier Center

St. Thomas vs. Denver Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: St. Thomas win (82.4%)

Take a look at the betting trends and insights below before placing a wager on Thursday's St. Thomas-Denver spread (St. Thomas -9.5) or total (144.5 points).

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St. Thomas vs. Denver: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• St. Thomas is 15-13-0 ATS this season.
• Denver has compiled a 16-12-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Denver covers the spread when it is a 9.5-point underdog or more 72.7% of the time. That's more often than St. Thomas covers as a favorite of 9.5 or more (57.1%).
• The Tommies have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered seven times in 11 opportunities at home, and they've covered seven times in 15 opportunities in road games.
• Against the spread, the Pioneers have had better results away (10-5-0) than at home (6-5-0).
• Against the spread, in conference play, St. Thomas is 8-8-0 this year.
• Denver is 10-6-0 against the spread in Summit League play this season.

St. Thomas vs. Denver: Moneyline Betting Stats

• St. Thomas has come away with 17 wins in the 20 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Tommies have been a -481 moneyline favorite on eight occasions this season and won every game.
• Denver has won 24% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (6-19).
• The Pioneers have played 11 times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +360 or longer, and lost each game.
• St. Thomas has an implied victory probability of 82.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

St. Thomas vs. Denver Head-to-Head Comparison

• St. Thomas' +259 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.4 points per game) is a result of scoring 83.5 points per game (12th in college basketball) while allowing 75.1 per outing (274th in college basketball).
• Miles Barnstable's 14.7 points per game lead St. Thomas and rank 289th in the nation.
• Denver has been outscored by 4.8 points per game (posting 72.7 points per game, 217th in college basketball, while allowing 77.5 per outing, 320th in college basketball) and has a -149 scoring differential.
• DeAndre Craig's team-leading 13.5 points per game rank him 446th in college basketball.
• The Tommies are 337th in the country at 28.4 rebounds per game. That's 3.6 fewer than the 32 their opponents average.
• Kendall Blue is 795th in college basketball action with 4.5 rebounds per game to lead the Tommies.
• The Pioneers lose the rebound battle by 3.4 boards on average. They record 27.5 rebounds per game, 348th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 30.9.
• Nicholas Shogbonyo's 4.5 rebounds per game lead the Pioneers and rank 795th in the nation.
• St. Thomas ranks third in college basketball by averaging 108.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 291st in college basketball, allowing 97.5 points per 100 possessions.
• The Pioneers rank 208th in college basketball averaging 94.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 342nd, allowing 100.8 points per 100 possessions.

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