Southern Illinois vs Indiana State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MVC Tournament

The No. 8 seed Southern Illinois Salukis (13-18, 8-12 MVC) take on the No. 9 seed Indiana State Sycamores (14-17, 8-12 MVC) in the MVC tournament Thursday at Enterprise Center, starting at 1 p.m. ET. Both teams will look to take one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Southern Illinois vs. Indiana State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 6, 2025
• Game time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: St. Louis, Missouri
• Arena: Enterprise Center

Southern Illinois vs. Indiana State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Indiana State win (51.6%)

Before making an informed wager on Southern Illinois-Indiana State matchup (in which Southern Illinois is a 1.5-point favorite and the total is set at 153.5 points), below are a few betting trends and insights for Thursday's game.

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Southern Illinois vs. Indiana State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Southern Illinois has covered 12 times in 29 chances against the spread this season.
• Indiana State has covered 15 times in 29 matchups with a spread this season.
• Indiana State covers the spread when it is a 1.5-point underdog or more 55.6% of the time. That's more often than Southern Illinois covers as a favorite of 1.5 or more (44.4%).
• Against the spread, the Salukis have played worse at home, covering five times in 13 home games, and seven times in 12 road games.
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Sycamores have a lower winning percentage at home (.500, 6-6-0 record) than on the road (.538, 7-6-0).
• Southern Illinois has nine wins against the spread in 20 conference games this year.
• Indiana State has 11 wins against the spread in 20 MVC games this year.

Southern Illinois vs. Indiana State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Southern Illinois has been victorious in four of the eight contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This year, the Salukis have won four of eight games when listed as at least -111 or better on the moneyline.
• Indiana State has won 27.8% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (5-13).
• In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -108 or longer, the Sycamores have a 5-13 record (winning only 27.8% of their games).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Southern Illinois has a 52.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Southern Illinois vs. Indiana State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Southern Illinois' -37 scoring differential (outscored by 1.2 points per game) is a result of scoring 73.1 points per game (204th in college basketball) while giving up 74.3 per contest (254th in college basketball).
• Ali Abdou Dibba ranks 126th in the country with a team-leading 16.8 points per game.
• Indiana State puts up 79.9 points per game (45th in college basketball) while allowing 79.3 per outing (341st in college basketball). It has a +19 scoring differential.
• Samage Teel is 107th in the nation with a team-leading 17.1 points per game.
• The 32.9 rebounds per game the Salukis average rank 124th in the nation, and are 3.6 more than the 29.3 their opponents record per contest.
• Jarrett Hensley leads the Salukis with 5.9 rebounds per game (343rd in college basketball action).
• The Sycamores are 151st in college basketball at 32.5 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 31.6 their opponents average.
• Aaron Gray is 343rd in college basketball with 5.9 rebounds per game, leading the Sycamores.
• Southern Illinois averages 94.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (198th in college basketball), and gives up 96.4 points per 100 possessions (268th in college basketball).
• The Sycamores' 99.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 93rd in college basketball, and the 98.5 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 313th in college basketball.

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