Southern Illinois vs Indiana State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MVC Tournament

The No. 8 seed Southern Illinois Salukis (13-18, 8-12 MVC) will face off against the No. 9 seed Indiana State Sycamores (14-17, 8-12 MVC) in the MVC tournament Thursday at Enterprise Center, beginning at 1 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Southern Illinois vs. Indiana State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 6, 2025
• Game time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: St. Louis, Missouri
• Arena: Enterprise Center

Southern Illinois vs. Indiana State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Indiana State win (51.2%)

Read these betting insights and trends before you bet on Thursday's Southern Illinois-Indiana State spread (Southern Illinois -1.5) or over/under (157.5 points).

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Southern Illinois vs. Indiana State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Southern Illinois has put together a 12-17-0 record against the spread this season.
• Indiana State has covered 15 times in 29 matchups with a spread this year.
• Indiana State covers the spread when it is a 1.5-point underdog or more 55.6% of the time. That's more often than Southern Illinois covers as a favorite of 1.5 or more (44.4%).
• Against the spread, the Salukis have performed worse at home, covering five times in 13 home games, and seven times in 12 road games.
• This season, the Sycamores are 6-6-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). Away, they are 7-6-0 ATS (.538).
• Southern Illinois has nine wins against the spread in 20 conference games this season.
• Against the spread in MVC action, Indiana State is 11-9-0 this year.

Southern Illinois vs. Indiana State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Southern Illinois has been the moneyline favorite in eight games this season and has come away with the win four times (50%) in those contests.
• The Salukis have a mark of 4-4 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -115 or better on the moneyline.
• Indiana State is 5-13 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 27.8% of those games).
• The Sycamores have a 5-13 record (winning just 27.8% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of -104 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Southern Illinois has a 53.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Southern Illinois vs. Indiana State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Southern Illinois is being outscored by 1.2 points per game with a -37 scoring differential overall. It puts up 73.1 points per game (204th in college basketball) and allows 74.3 per contest (254th in college basketball).
• Ali Abdou Dibba paces Southern Illinois, putting up 16.8 points per game (127th in the nation).
• Indiana State has a +19 scoring differential, putting up 79.9 points per game (45th in college basketball) and conceding 79.3 (341st in college basketball).
• Samage Teel is 108th in the country with a team-high 17.1 points per game.
• The 32.9 rebounds per game the Salukis average rank 124th in college basketball, and are 3.6 more than the 29.3 their opponents record per outing.
• Jarrett Hensley's 5.9 rebounds per game lead the Salukis and rank 343rd in college basketball play.
• The 32.5 rebounds per game the Sycamores accumulate rank 151st in the country. Their opponents grab 31.6.
• Aaron Gray tops the team with 5.9 rebounds per game (343rd in college basketball).
• Southern Illinois ranks 199th in college basketball by averaging 94.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 268th in college basketball, allowing 96.4 points per 100 possessions.
• The Sycamores rank 93rd in college basketball averaging 99.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 314th, allowing 98.5 points per 100 possessions.

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