Red Sox vs Rays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 12

Odds updated as of 7:13 a.m.

The MLB slate on Saturday includes the Boston Red Sox facing the Tampa Bay Rays.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.

Red Sox vs Rays Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (51-45) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (50-45)
• Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025
• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Fenway Park -- Boston, Massachusetts
• Coverage: NESN and FDSSUN

Red Sox vs Rays Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-190) | TB: (+160)
• Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+114) | TB: +1.5 (-137)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)

Red Sox vs Rays Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Garrett Crochet (Red Sox) - 9-4, 2.39 ERA vs Shane Baz (Rays) - 8-4, 4.34 ERA

The Red Sox will give the ball to Garrett Crochet (9-4, 2.39 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 10 on the season, and the Rays will turn to Shane Baz (8-4, 4.34 ERA). Crochet's team is 10-9-0 against the spread this season in his starts. When Crochet starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 10-7. The Rays are 10-7-0 ATS in Baz's 17 starts with a set spread. The Rays have a 4-1 record in Baz's five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Red Sox win (60.5%)

Red Sox vs Rays Moneyline

• Tampa Bay is a +160 underdog on the moneyline, while Boston is a -190 favorite at home.

Red Sox vs Rays Spread

• The Rays are +1.5 on the spread (-137 to cover), and Boston is +114 to cover the runline.

Red Sox vs Rays Over/Under

• Red Sox versus Rays on July 12 has an over/under of 8 runs, with the odds on the over -114 and the under set at -106.

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Red Sox vs Rays Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have been victorious in 34, or 55.7%, of the 61 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• This season Boston has been victorious eight times in 11 chances when named as a favorite of at least -190 on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have hit the over in 47 of their 95 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Red Sox have posted a record of 52-43-0 against the spread this season.
• The Rays have won 19 of the 41 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (46.3%).
• Tampa Bay has played as a moneyline underdog of +160 or longer in only two games this season, which it split 1-1.
• The Rays have played in 92 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 37 times (37-51-4).
• The Rays have gone 43-49-0 ATS this season.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Ceddanne Rafaela has 21 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 16 walks while hitting .271. He has an on-base percentage of .314 and a slugging percentage of .477.
• Among qualifying hitters in baseball, he is 58th in batting average, 113th in on-base percentage, and 36th in slugging.
• Rafaela hopes to build on an eight-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .405 with seven doubles, four home runs, two walks and 13 RBIs.
• Jarren Duran has hit eight homers this season while driving in 50 runs. He's batting .257 this season and slugging .430 with an on-base percentage of .315.
• Among qualified hitters, his batting average ranks him 87th, his on-base percentage 111th, and his slugging percentage 80th.
• Wilyer Abreu leads Boston with 69 hits and an OBP of .329 this season.
• Trevor Story has 15 home runs, 57 RBI and a batting average of .253 this season.

Rays Player Leaders

• Junior Caminero has 89 hits, a team-high for the Rays. He's batting .254 and slugging .506 with an on-base percentage of .294.
• Including all the qualifying hitters in the big leagues, he is 93rd in batting average, 134th in on-base percentage and 20th in slugging percentage.
• Caminero heads into this game on a three-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is hitting .190 with two home runs and three RBIs.
• Yandy Diaz's .456 slugging percentage paces his team. He has a batting average of .283 with an on-base percentage of .338.
• He is 32nd in batting average, 66th in on-base percentage and 58th in slugging percentage in the big leagues.
• Jonathan Aranda has a .401 on-base percentage and a .497 slugging percentage, both team-high marks for the Rays.
• Jake Mangum is batting .313 with nine doubles, a triple, two home runs and 12 walks.

Red Sox vs Rays Head to Head

• 7/11/2025: 5-4 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 7/10/2025: 4-3 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 6/11/2025: 4-3 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 6/10/2025: 3-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 6/9/2025: 10-8 TB (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 4/16/2025: 1-0 BOS (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 4/15/2025: 7-4 BOS (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 4/14/2025: 16-1 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 9/29/2024: 3-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 9/28/2024: 7-2 TB (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)

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