Red Sox vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 12

Odds updated as of 11:14 a.m.

The MLB's Sunday slate includes the Boston Red Sox facing the New York Mets.

Before you do any MLB betting on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.

Red Sox vs Mets Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (45-48) vs. New York Mets (40-56)
• Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026
• Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
• Coverage: WPIX and NESN

Red Sox vs Mets Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-110) | NYM: (-106)
• Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+142) | NYM: +1.5 (-176)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (+102) | Under: (-124)

Red Sox vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Payton Tolle (Red Sox) - 5-6, 3.14 ERA vs Zach Thornton (Mets) - 0-0, 0.00 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Red Sox will send Payton Tolle (5-6) to the mound, while Zach Thornton will take the ball for the Mets. When Tolle starts, his team is 4-10-0 against the spread this season. Tolle's team is 4-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. Thornton's team was never the underdog on the moneyline a season ago in games he pitched.

Red Sox vs Mets Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Red Sox win (53.4%)

Red Sox vs Mets Moneyline

• Boston is the favorite, -110 on the moneyline, while New York is a -106 underdog despite being at home.

Red Sox vs Mets Spread

• The Mets are +1.5 on the run line against the Red Sox. The Mets are -176 to cover, and the Red Sox are +142.

Red Sox vs Mets Over/Under

• An over/under of 8.5 has been set for Red Sox-Mets on July 12, with the over being +102 and the under -124.

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Red Sox vs Mets Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have won in 26, or 45.6%, of the 57 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• Boston has a record of 26-31 when favored by -110 or more this year.
• Contests with the Red Sox have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 41 of 92 chances this season.
• In 92 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 43-49-0 against the spread.
• The Mets have won seven of the 31 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (22.6%).
• New York has a 7-21 record (winning only 25% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of -106 or longer.
• The Mets have played in 93 games with a set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 43 times (43-44-6).
• The Mets have collected a 40-53-0 record against the spread this season.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Wilyer Abreu has 20 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 39 walks while hitting .264. He has an on-base percentage of .335 and a slugging percentage of .433.
• Among all qualifying hitters in MLB, he is 61st in batting average, 69th in on-base percentage, and 69th in slugging.
• Ceddanne Rafaela leads Boston in slugging percentage (.436) thanks to 33 extra-base hits. He's batting .282 with an on-base percentage of .330.
• His batting average is 31st among qualified players, his on-base percentage 74th, and his slugging percentage 66th.
• Rafaela heads into this matchup looking to extend his two-game hit streak. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBIs.
• Caleb Durbin has collected 65 base hits, an OBP of .293 and a slugging percentage of .396 this season.
• Durbin heads into this matchup with four games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a double, a home run, two walks and two RBIs.
• Jarren Duran has been key for Boston with 65 hits, an OBP of .259 plus a slugging percentage of .351.

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto has racked up a team-high OBP (.410), while leading the Mets in hits (80). He's batting .294 and slugging.
• Including all qualified hitters in MLB, his batting average puts him 15th, his on-base percentage is second, and he is fourth in slugging.
• Bo Bichette paces his team with a .377 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .256 with an on-base percentage of .301.
• He is currently 71st in batting average, 125th in on-base percentage and 117th in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters.
• Carson Benge is batting .266 with 12 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 29 walks.
• A.J. Ewing has eight doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 22 walks while hitting .276.

Red Sox vs Mets Head to Head

• 7/11/2026: 4-0 BOS (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 5/21/2025: 5-1 NYM (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -152, Underdog Moneyline: +128)
• 5/20/2025: 2-0 BOS (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 5/19/2025: 3-1 BOS (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 9/4/2024: 8-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 9/3/2024: 7-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 9/2/2024: 4-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 7/23/2023: 6-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 7/22/2023: 8-6 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)

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