Rays vs Guardians Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for ALCS Game 1 on Oct. 12

Odds updated as of 6:12 a.m.

On Monday in the MLB, the Tampa Bay Rays are playing the Cleveland Guardians for Game 1 of the ALCS.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.

Rays vs Guardians Game Info

• Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) vs. Cleveland Guardians (85-77)
• Date: Monday, October 12, 2026
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Tropicana Field -- St. Petersburg, Florida
• Coverage: TBS, truTV, and HBO Max

Rays vs Guardians Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: TB: (-164) | CLE: (+138)
• Spread: TB: -1.5 (+136) | CLE: +1.5 (-164)
• Total: 6.5 -- Over: (-128) | Under: (+104)

Rays vs Guardians Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Drew Rasmussen (Rays) - 16-5, 2.67 ERA vs Foster Griffin (Guardians) - 15-6, 3.60 ERA

The probable pitchers are Drew Rasmussen (16-5, 2.67 ERA) for the Rays and Foster Griffin (15-6, 3.60 ERA) for the Guardians. Rasmussen's team is 16-14-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Rasmussen's team is 15-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. The Guardians have an 18-11-0 record against the spread in Griffin's starts. The Guardians are 12-6 in Griffin's 18 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.

Rays vs Guardians Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rays win (60.3%)

Rays vs Guardians Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Rays-Guardians, Tampa Bay is the favorite at -164, and Cleveland is +138 playing on the road.

Rays vs Guardians Spread

• The Rays are 1.5-run home favorites on the runline against the Guardians. The Rays are +136 to cover, and the Guardians are -164.

Rays vs Guardians Over/Under

• A combined run total of 6.5 has been set for Rays-Guardians on Oct. 12, with the over at -128 and the under at +104.

Bet on Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians on FanDuel today!

Rays vs Guardians Betting Trends

• The Rays have been favorites in 105 games this season and have come away with the win 67 times (63.8%) in those contests.
• This year Tampa Bay has won 12 of 19 games when listed as at least -164 on the moneyline.
• The Rays and their opponents have gone over in 76 of their 162 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 162 games with a line this season, the Rays have a mark of 86-76-0 against the spread.
• The Guardians have a 31-29 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 51.7% of those games).
• In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +138 or longer, Cleveland has a record of 6-3 (66.7%).
• The Guardians have played in 157 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 77 times (77-80-0).
• The Guardians have a 76-81-0 record ATS this season (covering 48.4% of the time).

Rays Player Leaders

• Junior Caminero leads Tampa Bay with 170 hits, batting .276 this season with 68 extra-base hits. He has an on-base percentage of .360 and a slugging percentage of .524.
• Among qualified batters in baseball, his batting average ranks 33rd, his on-base percentage ranks 30th, and he is sixth in slugging.
• Caminero will look for his third straight game with a hit in this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a double, a home run, three walks and two RBIs.
• Yandy Diaz leads Tampa Bay in slugging percentage (.446) thanks to 49 extra-base hits. He's batting .293 with an on-base percentage of .359.
• He ranks 10th in batting average, 33rd in on-base percentage and 50th in slugging in the majors.
• Diaz brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with a double and a walk.
• Liam Hicks has 136 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .367.
• Chandler Simpson has been key for Tampa Bay with 175 hits, an OBP of .333 plus a slugging percentage of .356.

Guardians Player Leaders

• Chase DeLauter has 142 hits, a team-high for the Guardians. He's batting .287 and slugging .457 with an on-base percentage of .363.
• Including all qualified hitters in MLB, he is 16th in batting average, 24th in on-base percentage and 43rd in slugging percentage.
• DeLauter takes a four-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with two walks and two RBIs.
• Steven Kwan has a .382 on-base percentage while slugging .349. Both pace his team. He has a batting average of .282.
• Including all qualified players, he is 21st in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage and 131st in slugging percentage.
• Jose Ramirez is hitting .235 with 27 doubles, 12 home runs and 60 walks.
• Brayan Rocchio is hitting .253 with 25 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 38 walks.

Rays vs Guardians Head to Head

• 7/26/2026: 1-0 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 7/25/2026: 3-0 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 7/24/2026: 11-3 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 4/28/2026: 1-0 TB (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 4/27/2026: 3-2 TB (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 9/7/2025: 2-1 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
• 9/6/2025: 3-2 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 9/5/2025: 7-1 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
• 9/4/2025: 4-2 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +140)
• 8/27/2025: 4-3 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)

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