Phillies vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 23

Odds updated as of 10:11 a.m.
In MLB action on Wednesday, the Philadelphia Phillies take on the Boston Red Sox.
Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.
Phillies vs Red Sox Game Info
- Philadelphia Phillies (58-43) vs. Boston Red Sox (54-49)
- Date: Wednesday, July 23, 2025
- Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park -- Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Phillies vs Red Sox Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: PHI: (-154) | BOS: (+130)
- Spread: PHI: -1.5 (+136) | BOS: +1.5 (-164)
- Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (-100)
Phillies vs Red Sox Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Jesús Luzardo (Phillies) - 8-5, 4.29 ERA vs Lucas Giolito (Red Sox) - 6-2, 3.59 ERA
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Phillies will send Jesus Luzardo (8-5) to the mound, while Lucas Giolito (6-2) will answer the bell for the Red Sox. Luzardo and his team have a record of 8-11-0 against the spread when he starts. Luzardo's team has won 62.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (10-6). When Giolito starts, the Red Sox are 9-5-0 against the spread. The Red Sox have been the underdog on the moneyline in seven of Giolito's starts this season, and they went 4-3 in those matchups.
Phillies vs Red Sox Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Phillies win (61.3%)
Phillies vs Red Sox Moneyline
- Boston is a +130 underdog on the moneyline, while Philadelphia is a -154 favorite at home.
Phillies vs Red Sox Spread
- The Phillies are hosting the Red Sox and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Phillies are +136 to cover the runline, with the Red Sox being -164.
Phillies vs Red Sox Over/Under
- Phillies versus Red Sox, on July 23, has an over/under of 8.5, with the over being -122 and the under -100.
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Phillies vs Red Sox Betting Trends
- The Phillies have come away with 50 wins in the 76 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
- Philadelphia has a record of 34-12 when favored by -154 or more this year.
- The Phillies and their opponents have gone over in 37 of their 95 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Phillies have an against the spread record of 48-47-0 in 95 games with a line this season.
- The Red Sox have put together a 14-20 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 41.2% of those games).
- Boston is 5-8 (winning just 38.5% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +130 or longer.
- The Red Sox have played in 102 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 47 times (47-51-4).
- The Red Sox are 55-47-0 against the spread this season.
Phillies Player Leaders
- Kyle Schwarber leads Philadelphia in total hits (92) this season while batting .248 with 48 extra-base hits. He has an on-base percentage of .376 and a slugging percentage of .558.
- Among the qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 106th, his on-base percentage ranks 13th, and he is seventh in slugging.
- Trea Turner has an OPS of .771, fueled by an OBP of .345 and a team-best slugging percentage of .426 this season. He's batting .288.
- He ranks 19th in batting average, 54th in on-base percentage and 81st in slugging among qualified batters.
- Bryce Harper has 74 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .381.
- Harper heads into this game with two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .421 with four doubles, three home runs, two walks and six RBIs.
- Nick Castellanos is batting .270 with a .311 OBP and 54 RBI for Philadelphia this season.
- Castellanos takes a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with two walks and three RBIs.
Red Sox Player Leaders
- Ceddanne Rafaela has 91 hits, a team-best for the Red Sox. He's batting .271 and slugging .470 with an on-base percentage of .311.
- He ranks 57th in batting average, 118th in on-base percentage and 41st in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters in the majors.
- Jarren Duran's .323 on-base percentage and .433 slugging percentage are both team-highs. He has a batting average of .257.
- Including all qualified players, he is 85th in batting average, 88th in on-base percentage and 72nd in slugging percentage.
- Wilyer Abreu is batting .253 with 11 doubles, 20 home runs and 31 walks.
- Trevor Story is batting .253 with 13 doubles, 15 home runs and 19 walks.
Phillies vs Red Sox Head to Head
- 7/22/2025: 4-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -188, Underdog Moneyline: +158)
- 7/21/2025: 3-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -225, Underdog Moneyline: +188)
- 6/13/2024: 9-3 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
- 6/12/2024: 8-6 BOS (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)
- 6/11/2024: 4-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
- 5/7/2023: 6-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
- 5/6/2023: 7-4 BOS (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
- 5/5/2023: 5-3 BOS (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +140)
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