Patrick Mahomes Fantasy Football Week 9: Stats and Projections vs. Bills

Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes will match up with the second-ranked passing defense of the Buffalo Bills (161.9 yards conceded per game) in Week 9, at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday.

For more details on Mahomes, if you're thinking about him for your DFS roster, read this piece prior to his upcoming matchup versus the Bills.

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Patrick Mahomes Week 9 Fantasy Football Projection

• Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills
• Game Date: November 2, 2025
• Game Time: 4:25 p.m.
• Projected Fantasy Points: 20.2
• Projected Passing Yards: 245.54
• Projected Passing TDs: 1.98
• Projected Rushing Yards: 25.38
• Projected Rushing TDs: 0.25

Projections provided by numberFire

Mahomes Fantasy Performance

• With 196.0 fantasy points this season (24.5 per game), Mahomes is the No. 1 player in fantasy football right now.
• During his last three games, Mahomes has accumulated 842 passing yards (73-of-99) for nine passing TDs with two picks, leading to 80.7 fantasy points (26.9 per game) during that period. On the ground, he's contributed 90 yards rushing on 18 carries with one touchdown.
• Mahomes has accumulated 1,430 passing yards (127-of-177) with 14 TDs and three picks in his last five games, leading to 134.7 fantasy points (26.9 per game) during that stretch. On the ground, he's contributed 155 yards rushing on 28 carries with two touchdowns.
• The highlight of Mahomes' fantasy season was a Week 6 performance against the Detroit Lions, a matchup in which he put up 31.5 fantasy points -- 22-of-30 (73.3%), 257 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INTs; 10 carries, 32 yards, 1 TD.
• From a fantasy perspective, Patrick Mahomes' game against the New York Giants in Week 3 was his worst of the year, as he posted 13.2 fantasy points. He passed for 224 yards and one touchdown, and threw zero picks on the day.

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Bills Defensive Performance

• Buffalo has not let a player put up over 300 yards passing against them in a matchup yet this season.
• The Bills have allowed five players to pass for at least one TD in a game this year.
• Buffalo has allowed two players to throw for at least two TDs in a game this year.
• The Bills have not allowed a player to throw for three or more touchdowns against them in a game this season.
• A total of three players have recorded over 100 yards receiving in a game against Buffalo this season.
• The Bills have allowed seven players to catch a TD pass versus them this season.
• No player has caught more than one TD pass against Buffalo this season.
• Two players have collected over 100 yards rushing in a game versus the Bills this season.
• Buffalo has allowed eight players to score at least one rushing touchdown against them this year.
• The Bills have given up at least two rushing touchdowns to two players this year.

Want more data and analysis on Patrick Mahomes? Check out FanDuel Research for all the latest and in-depth fantasy and betting coverage.