Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for February 15

The Ole Miss Rebels (19-6, 8-4 SEC) hope to continue a three-game winning streak when they host the Mississippi State Bulldogs (17-7, 5-6 SEC) on February 15, 2025 at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Saturday, February 15, 2025
- Game time: 6:00 PM ET
- TV channel: ESPN2
- Location: Oxford, Mississippi
- Arena: The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Ole Miss win (70.8%)
See the betting insights and trends below before making a wager on Saturday's Ole Miss-Mississippi State spread (Ole Miss -3.5) or total (146.5 points).
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Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Ole Miss has compiled a 14-11-0 record against the spread this season.
- Mississippi State has compiled a 10-14-0 ATS record so far this season.
- Ole Miss covers the spread when it is a 3.5-point favorite or more 50% of the time. That's more often than Mississippi State covers as an underdog of 3.5 or more (never covered this season).
- The Rebels sport a worse record against the spread when playing at home (6-7-0) than they do in away games (4-4-0).
- This season, the Bulldogs are 4-8-0 at home against the spread (.333 winning percentage). On the road, they are 4-3-0 ATS (.571).
- Against the spread, in conference games, Ole Miss is 6-6-0 this year.
- Mississippi State's SEC record against the spread is 3-8-0.
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Ole Miss has been the moneyline favorite in 16 games this season and has come away with the win 15 times (93.8%) in those contests.
- The Rebels have not lost in 15 games this year when favored by -170 or better on the moneyline.
- Mississippi State has won one of the three games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (33.3%).
- The Bulldogs have played as a moneyline underdog of +140 or longer in just two games this season, which they lost both.
- Ole Miss has an implied victory probability of 63% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Head-to-Head Comparison
- Ole Miss outscores opponents by 9.7 points per game (scoring 78.1 per game to rank 84th in college basketball while allowing 68.4 per outing to rank 77th in college basketball) and has a +241 scoring differential overall.
- Sean Pedulla paces Ole Miss, recording 14.6 points per game (308th in the nation).
- Mississippi State has a +180 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.5 points per game. It is putting up 79.3 points per game, 61st in college basketball, and is giving up 71.8 per outing to rank 187th in college basketball.
- Josh Hubbard paces Mississippi State, recording 17.6 points per game (86th in college basketball).
- The Rebels lose the rebound battle by an average of 2.8 boards. They are grabbing 30.4 rebounds per game (284th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 33.2 per outing.
- Malik Dia is 404th in college basketball play with 5.6 rebounds per game to lead the Rebels.
- The Bulldogs record 35.7 rebounds per game (28th in college basketball) while conceding 32.2 per contest to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 3.5 boards per game.
- KeShawn Murphy tops the Bulldogs with 7.5 rebounds per game (110th in college basketball).
- Ole Miss averages 100.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (67th in college basketball), and allows 88.2 points per 100 possessions (70th in college basketball).
- The Bulldogs' 99.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 86th in college basketball, and the 90.4 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 124th in college basketball.
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