Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA Playoffs Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for April 18

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Info

• Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
• Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Ball Arena -- Denver, Colorado
• Coverage: Amazon Prime Video

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 6-point underdogs heading into Game 1 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena on Saturday, beginning at 3:30 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video. The matchup has an over/under of 231.5 points.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Nuggets win (60.8%)

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

• The Nuggets have gone 44-38-0 against the spread this season.
• The Timberwolves have played 82 games, with 38 wins against the spread.
• This season, Nuggets games have hit the over 52 times.
• The Timberwolves have hit the over 45.1% of the time this year (37 of 82 games with a set point total).
• Denver owns a worse record against the spread when playing at home (20-21-0) than it does on the road (24-17-0).
• The Nuggets have exceeded the over/under in 23 of 41 home games (56.1%). They've done better on the road, going over the total in 29 of 41 matchups (70.7%).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, Minnesota has a lower winning percentage at home (.439, 18-23-0 record) than on the road (.488, 20-21-0).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Timberwolves' games have finished above the over/under at home (34.1%, 14 of 41) than away (56.1%, 23 of 41).

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic is averaging 27.7 points, 10.7 assists and 12.9 rebounds.
• Jamal Murray averages 25.4 points, 4.4 boards and 7.1 assists, shooting 48.3% from the floor and 43.5% from beyond the arc (seventh in NBA), with 3.3 made 3-pointers per game (fifth in NBA).
• Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 13.5 points, 2.6 boards and 1.4 assists, shooting 44.7% from the floor and 40.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Bruce Brown averages 7.9 points, 3.9 rebounds and 2.1 assists, shooting 47.5% from the field.
• Cameron Johnson is averaging 12.2 points, 3.8 boards and 2.4 assists.

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle's numbers on the season are 21.1 points, 6.7 rebounds and 5 assists per contest. He is also sinking 48.1% of his shots from the floor and 31.5% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.4 triples.
• The Timberwolves get 28.8 points per game from Anthony Edwards, plus 5 boards and 3.7 assists.
• Per game, Rudy Gobert provides the Timberwolves 10.9 points, 11.5 boards and 1.7 assists, plus 0.8 steals and 1.6 blocks (sixth in league).
• Naz Reid's numbers on the season are 13.6 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.2 assists per contest. He is making 45.6% of his shots from the field and 36.2% from 3-point range, with an average of 2.1 treys.
• Donte DiVincenzo averages 12.2 points, 4.1 boards and 3.8 assists. He is sinking 40.6% of his shots from the floor and 37.9% from 3-point range, with 3 triples per game.

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