Nuggets vs. Thunder Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 15

Nuggets vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Thursday, May 15, 2025
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Ball Arena -- Denver, Colorado
• Coverage: ESPN

The Denver Nuggets are 4.5-point underdogs heading into a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Ball Arena on Thursday, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Thunder are ahead 3-2 in the series. The over/under is set at 216.5 for the matchup.

Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (52.2%)

Nuggets vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder are 54-26-2 against the spread this season.
• The Nuggets have played 82 games, with 38 wins against the spread.
• Thunder games have gone over the total 44 times this season.
• Nuggets games this season have gone over the point total 49 times in 82 opportunities (59.8%).
• In home games, Oklahoma City sports a better record against the spread (29-12-1) compared to its ATS record in road games (25-14-1).
• The Thunder have exceeded the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (59.5%) than away games (47.5%).
• Denver's winning percentage against the spread at home is .439 (18-23-0). On the road, it is .488 (20-20-1).
• In 2024-25, a higher percentage of the Nuggets' games have finished above the over/under at home (63.4%, 26 of 41) compared to on the road (56.1%, 23 of 41).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.7 points, 5 rebounds and 6.4 assists.
• Jalen Williams averages 21.6 points, 5.3 boards and 5.1 assists.
• Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 11.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 3.8 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 1.1 blocked shots.
• Aaron Wiggins' numbers on the season are 12 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest, shooting 48.8% from the floor and 38.3% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.7 made 3-pointers.
• Luguentz Dort is averaging 10.1 points, 1.6 assists and 4.1 boards.

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic averages 29.6 points, 12.7 boards and 10.2 assists. He is also sinking 57.6% of his shots from the floor (ninth in NBA) and 41.7% from beyond the arc, with 2 triples per game.
• Jamal Murray's numbers on the season are 21.4 points, 3.9 rebounds and 6 assists per contest. He is making 47.4% of his shots from the floor and 39.3% from 3-point range, with an average of 2.3 treys.
• The Nuggets are receiving 18.2 points, 7 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game from Michael Porter Jr.
• The Nuggets receive 15.4 points per game from Christian Braun, plus 5.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists.
• Russell Westbrook averages 13.3 points, 4.9 boards and 6.1 assists. He is sinking 44.9% of his shots from the field and 32.3% from 3-point range, with 1.3 treys per contest.

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