Northern Kentucky vs Detroit Mercy Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Horizon League Tournament

The No. 10 seed Detroit Mercy Titans (8-23, 4-16 Horizon League) will square off in the Horizon League tournament against the No. 7 seed Northern Kentucky Norse (16-15, 11-9 Horizon League) on Tuesday at Truist Arena, beginning at 7 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Northern Kentucky vs. Detroit Mercy Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 4, 2025
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Highland Heights, Kentucky
• Arena: Truist Arena

Northern Kentucky vs. Detroit Mercy Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Northern Kentucky win (79%)

Check out the betting insights and trends below before placing a wager on Tuesday's Northern Kentucky-Detroit Mercy spread (Northern Kentucky -12.5) or over/under (138.5 points).

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Northern Kentucky vs. Detroit Mercy: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Northern Kentucky is 10-19-0 ATS this season.
• Detroit Mercy has put together a 17-13-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Northern Kentucky covers the spread when it is a 12.5-point favorite or more 50% of the time. That's less often than Detroit Mercy covers as an underdog of 12.5 or more (53.8%).
• The Norse sport a better record against the spread in home games (6-9-0) than they do on the road (4-10-0).
• The Titans' winning percentage against the spread at home is .667 (8-4-0). On the road, it is .500 (8-8-0).
• Northern Kentucky is 7-13-0 against the spread in conference action this season.
• Detroit Mercy has beaten the spread 10 times in 20 Horizon League games.

Northern Kentucky vs. Detroit Mercy: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Northern Kentucky has been victorious in 11, or 68.8%, of the 16 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Norse have been listed as a favorite of -1099 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
• Detroit Mercy has compiled a 5-22 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 18.5% of those games).
• The Titans have played 13 times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +680 or longer, and lost each game.
• Northern Kentucky has an implied victory probability of 91.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Northern Kentucky vs. Detroit Mercy Head-to-Head Comparison

• Northern Kentucky averages 71.3 points per game (258th in college basketball) while allowing 72.1 per contest (188th in college basketball). It has a -25 scoring differential overall.
• Trey Robinson ranks 205th in the country with a team-high 15.7 points per game.
• Detroit Mercy's -258 scoring differential (being outscored by 8.3 points per game) is a result of putting up 66.8 points per game (337th in college basketball) while giving up 75.1 per contest (275th in college basketball).
• Orlando Lovejoy's team-leading 16.1 points per game rank him 177th in college basketball.
• The Norse lose the rebound battle by 1.1 boards on average. They record 30.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 261st in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 31.8 per contest.
• Robinson averages 6.1 rebounds per game (ranking 294th in college basketball) to lead the Norse.
• The Titans average 33.9 rebounds per game (73rd in college basketball) while allowing 32.1 per contest to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.8 boards per game.
• Lovejoy averages 4.7 rebounds per game (714th in college basketball) to lead the Titans.
• Northern Kentucky scores 92.3 points per 100 possessions (276th in college basketball), while allowing 93.4 points per 100 possessions (182nd in college basketball).
• The Titans' 85.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 352nd in college basketball, and the 96.3 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 270th in college basketball.

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