Northern Iowa vs Valparaiso Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MVC Tournament

The No. 3 seed Northern Iowa Panthers (20-11, 14-6 MVC) will hit the court in the MVC tournament against the No. 11 seed Valparaiso Beacons (14-18, 6-14 MVC), Friday at 9:30 p.m. ET live on ESPN+.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 7, 2025
• Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: St. Louis, Missouri
• Arena: Enterprise Center

Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Northern Iowa win (77.9%)

Before making a bet on Friday's Northern Iowa-Valparaiso spread (Northern Iowa -8.5) or total (138.5 points), read the betting trends and insights below.

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Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Northern Iowa has put together a 19-11-0 record against the spread this season.
• Valparaiso has compiled a 15-15-0 record against the spread this year.
• As an 8.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Northern Iowa is 8-0 against the spread compared to the 4-3 ATS record Valparaiso racks up as an 8.5-point underdog.
• The Panthers have done a better job covering the spread at home (12-4-0) than they have in road tilts (6-4-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Beacons have a lower winning percentage at home (.467, 7-8-0 record) than away (.538, 7-6-0).
• Against the spread, in conference play, Northern Iowa is 13-7-0 this year.
• Against the spread in MVC play, Valparaiso is 11-10-0 this season.

Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Northern Iowa has been the moneyline favorite in 22 games this season and has come away with the win 17 times (77.3%) in those contests.
• The Panthers have been a -429 moneyline favorite on seven occasions this season and won every game.
• Valparaiso has a 6-14 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 30% of those games).
• The Beacons have played six times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +330 or longer, and fell in each game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Northern Iowa has a 81.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso Head-to-Head Comparison

• Northern Iowa is outscoring opponents by 6.6 points per game with a +206 scoring differential overall. It puts up 73.9 points per game (185th in college basketball) and gives up 67.3 per outing (52nd in college basketball).
• Tytan Anderson's 15.3 points per game lead Northern Iowa and are 243rd in the nation.
• Valparaiso scores 75.3 points per game (136th in college basketball) and concedes 74.4 (257th in college basketball) for a +30 scoring differential overall.
• Cooper Schwieger paces Valparaiso, scoring 15.6 points per game (217th in college basketball).
• The Panthers are 291st in college basketball at 30.1 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 29.3 their opponents average.
• Anderson averages 6.5 rebounds per game (ranking 230th in college basketball) to lead the Panthers.
• The Beacons rank 223rd in the country at 31.2 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 31.9 their opponents average.
• Schwieger is 73rd in the country with 7.8 rebounds per game, leading the Beacons.
• Northern Iowa's 102.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 41st in college basketball, and the 93.2 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 176th in college basketball.
• The Beacons rank 135th in college basketball averaging 97.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 262nd, allowing 96.2 points per 100 possessions.

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