North Carolina vs Ole Miss Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

The No. 6 Ole Miss Rebels (22-11) will be looking to advance to the second round of the NCAA Tournament when they face off against the No. 11 North Carolina Tar Heels (23-13) on Friday. This 6-11 matchup in the South Region bracket tips off at 4:05 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

North Carolina vs. Ole Miss Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 21, 2025
• Game time: 4:05 p.m. ET
• TV channel: TNT
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Arena: Fiserv Forum

North Carolina vs. Ole Miss Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: North Carolina win (55%)

See the betting insights and trends below before making a bet on Friday's North Carolina-Ole Miss spread (North Carolina -1.5) or over/under (155.5 points).

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North Carolina vs. Ole Miss: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• North Carolina has covered 16 times in 36 matchups with a spread this season.
• Ole Miss has put together a 16-17-0 record against the spread this year.
• North Carolina (13-13) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 1.5 points or more this season (50%) than Ole Miss (8-6) does as a 1.5+-point underdog (57.1%).
• The Tar Heels sport a better record against the spread in home games (7-8-0) than they do on the road (4-8-0).
• The Rebels' winning percentage against the spread at home is .438 (7-9-0). Away, it is .364 (4-7-0).

North Carolina vs. Ole Miss: Moneyline Betting Stats

• North Carolina has been the moneyline favorite in 26 games this season and has come away with the win 22 times (84.6%) in those contests.
• This year, the Tar Heels have won 22 of 24 games when listed as at least -130 or better on the moneyline.
• Ole Miss has gone 5-9 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 35.7% of those games).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer, the Rebels have a 5-8 record (winning only 38.5% of their games).
• North Carolina has an implied victory probability of 56.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

North Carolina vs. Ole Miss Head-to-Head Comparison

• North Carolina has a +231 scoring differential, topping opponents by 6.4 points per game. It is putting up 81.2 points per game to rank 26th in college basketball and is giving up 74.8 per outing to rank 263rd in college basketball.
• RJ Davis paces North Carolina, scoring 17.3 points per game (98th in the nation).
• Ole Miss outscores opponents by 5.5 points per game (posting 77.2 points per game, 88th in college basketball, and conceding 71.7 per contest, 173rd in college basketball) and has a +180 scoring differential.
• Sean Pedulla leads Ole Miss, putting up 14.9 points per game (271st in college basketball).
• The 33.3 rebounds per game the Tar Heels average rank 98th in the nation, and are 2.3 more than the 31 their opponents record per outing.
• Ven-Allen Lubin paces the Tar Heels with 5.6 rebounds per game (417th in college basketball action).
• The Rebels rank 314th in the nation at 29.6 rebounds per game. That's 3.9 fewer than the 33.5 their opponents average.
• Malik Dia is 395th in the nation with 5.7 rebounds per game, leading the Rebels.
• North Carolina's 102.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 35th in college basketball, and the 94.4 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 205th in college basketball.
• The Rebels rank 86th in college basketball averaging 99.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 150th, allowing 92.4 points per 100 possessions.

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