North Carolina vs Notre Dame Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for ACC Tournament

The No. 5 seed North Carolina Tar Heels (20-12, 13-7 ACC) and the No. 12 seed Notre Dame Fighting Irish (15-17, 8-12 ACC) will look to move on in the ACC tournament on Wednesday as they square off at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
• Game time: 2:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
• Arena: Spectrum Center

North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: North Carolina win (76.2%)

If you plan to place a wager on North Carolina-Notre Dame matchup (in which North Carolina is a 10.5-point favorite and the over/under has been set at 145.5 points), below are a few betting insights and trends for Wednesday's game.

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North Carolina vs. Notre Dame: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• North Carolina has covered 12 times in 32 chances against the spread this season.
• Notre Dame has covered 16 times in 32 matchups with a spread this year.
• As a 10.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Notre Dame is 2-1 against the spread compared to the 6-5 ATS record North Carolina puts up as a 10.5-point favorite.
• The Tar Heels have done a better job covering the spread at home (7-8-0) than they have in road games (4-8-0).
• The Fighting Irish's winning percentage against the spread at home is .438 (7-9-0). On the road, it is .417 (5-7-0).
• Against the spread, in conference action, North Carolina is 7-13-0 this year.
• Notre Dame's ACC record against the spread is 10-11-0.

North Carolina vs. Notre Dame: Moneyline Betting Stats

• North Carolina has been victorious in 19, or 82.6%, of the 23 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Tar Heels have a mark of 10-1 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -529 or better on the moneyline.
• Notre Dame has won three of the 15 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (20%).
• The Fighting Irish have played three times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +390 or longer, and lost each game.
• North Carolina has an implied victory probability of 84.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Head-to-Head Comparison

• North Carolina outscores opponents by 5.6 points per game (scoring 81.7 per game to rank 24th in college basketball while giving up 76.1 per contest to rank 295th in college basketball) and has a +178 scoring differential overall.
• RJ Davis' team-leading 17.3 points per game ranks 99th in the country.
• Notre Dame scores 73.2 points per game (199th in college basketball) and gives up 72.4 (199th in college basketball) for a +25 scoring differential overall.
• Markus Burton's team-leading 21.7 points per game rank him fifth in college basketball.
• The Tar Heels win the rebound battle by 1.9 boards on average. They record 33.0 rebounds per game, which ranks 114th in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 31.1 per contest.
• Seth Trimble tops the team with 5.2 rebounds per game (540th in college basketball action).
• The Fighting Irish average 31.7 rebounds per game (190th in college basketball) while allowing 28.8 per outing to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 2.9 boards per game.
• Kebba Njie averages 5.9 rebounds per game (344th in college basketball) to lead the Fighting Irish.
• North Carolina averages 102.6 points per 100 possessions (35th in college basketball), while allowing 95.6 points per 100 possessions (245th in college basketball).
• The Fighting Irish average 98.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (117th in college basketball), and concede 97.0 points per 100 possessions (284th in college basketball).

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