North Carolina vs East Tennessee State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 16

The North Carolina Tar Heels (9-1) will host the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (8-3) after winning eight home games in a row.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, December 16, 2025
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ACC Network
• Location: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
• Arena: Dean E. Smith Center

North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: North Carolina win (85.9%)

See these betting insights and trends before you wager on Tuesday's North Carolina-East Tennessee State spread (North Carolina -14.5) or over/under (149.5 points).

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North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• North Carolina has compiled a 6-4-0 record against the spread this season.
• East Tennessee State has covered six times in nine matchups with a spread this season.
• The Tar Heels had a better record against the spread at home (7-8-0) than they did on the road (4-8-0) last season.
• This season, the Buccaneers are 5-0-0 at home against the spread (1.000 winning percentage). On the road, they are 1-3-0 ATS (.250).

North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• North Carolina has been listed as the moneyline favorite seven times this season and has come away with a win in all of those games.
• The Tar Heels have been a -1695 moneyline favorite on four occasions this season and won every game.
• East Tennessee State has been listed as the moneyline underdog just two other times so far this season, and it split the games.
• The Buccaneers have not yet played a game with moneyline odds of +890 or longer.
• North Carolina has an implied victory probability of 94.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State Head-to-Head Comparison

• North Carolina has a +164 scoring differential, topping opponents by 16.4 points per game. It is putting up 81.1 points per game to rank 110th in college basketball and is allowing 64.7 per contest to rank 22nd in college basketball.
• North Carolina's leading scorer, Caleb Wilson, is 40th in college basketball scoring 19.6 points per game.
• East Tennessee State outscores opponents by 15.2 points per game (posting 80.7 points per game, 119th in college basketball, and giving up 65.5 per outing, 28th in college basketball) and has a +168 scoring differential.
• Cam Morris III's team-leading 14.2 points per game rank him 365th in the country.
• The 39.4 rebounds per game the Tar Heels average rank 13th in college basketball, and are 10.3 more than the 29.1 their opponents record per contest.
• Wilson tops the Tar Heels with 10.6 rebounds per game (eighth in college basketball action).
• The Buccaneers rank 133rd in the country at 34.4 rebounds per game. That's 5.1 more than the 29.3 their opponents average.
• Blake Barkley averages 4.9 rebounds per game (656th in college basketball) to lead the Buccaneers.
• North Carolina averages 101.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (108th in college basketball), and allows 81 points per 100 possessions (19th in college basketball).
• The Buccaneers' 101.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 106th in college basketball, and the 82.4 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 28th in college basketball.

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