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North Carolina vs Clemson College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 3

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North Carolina vs Clemson College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 3

The North Carolina Tar Heels (23-6, 11-5 ACC) aim to continue a three-game win streak when they host the Clemson Tigers (21-8, 11-5 ACC) on March 3, 2026 at Dean E. Smith Center.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

North Carolina vs. Clemson Game Info and Odds

  • Game day: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Game time: 7 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN
  • Location: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  • Arena: Dean E. Smith Center

North Carolina vs. Clemson Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: North Carolina win (67.7%)

Check out the betting trends and insights below before placing a bet on Tuesday's North Carolina-Clemson spread (North Carolina -3.5) or total (142.5 points).

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North Carolina vs. Clemson: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • North Carolina has compiled a 16-13-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Clemson has covered 16 times in 29 chances against the spread this season.
  • North Carolina covers the spread when it is a 3.5-point favorite or more 52.6% of the time. That's less often than Clemson covers as an underdog of 3.5 or more (100%).
  • The Tar Heels sport a better record against the spread in home games (11-6-0) than they do in road games (4-5-0).
  • Against the spread, the Tigers have had better results on the road (7-3-0) than at home (7-8-0).
  • North Carolina has beaten the spread eight times in 16 conference games.
  • Against the spread in ACC games, Clemson is 10-6-0 this year.

North Carolina vs. Clemson: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • North Carolina has been victorious in 17, or 85%, of the 20 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
  • The Tar Heels have a mark of 15-2 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -192 or better on the moneyline.
  • Clemson has won 25% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (1-3).
  • The Tigers have played in three games as a moneyline underdog with odds of +158 or longer without earning a win.
  • North Carolina has an implied victory probability of 65.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

North Carolina vs. Clemson Head-to-Head Comparison

  • North Carolina outscores opponents by 9.8 points per game (scoring 80.9 per game to rank 72nd in college basketball while giving up 71.1 per outing to rank 103rd in college basketball) and has a +283 scoring differential overall.
  • Caleb Wilson's team-leading 19.9 points per game ranks 34th in the nation.
  • Clemson puts up 74.7 points per game (215th in college basketball) while allowing 65.9 per outing (18th in college basketball). It has a +255 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 8.8 points per game.
  • Clemson's leading scorer, RJ Godfrey, is 794th in the nation, averaging 11.5 points per game.
  • The Tar Heels come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 5.2 boards. They are recording 35 rebounds per game (43rd in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 29.8 per contest.
  • Wilson is 21st in college basketball play with 9.4 rebounds per game to lead the Tar Heels.
  • The Tigers are 193rd in the country at 31.8 rebounds per game. That's 2.7 more than the 29.1 their opponents average.
  • Carter Welling's 5.4 rebounds per game lead the Tigers and rank 440th in college basketball.
  • North Carolina ranks 60th in college basketball by averaging 103.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 75th in college basketball, allowing 91 points per 100 possessions.
  • The Tigers rank 76th in college basketball averaging 102.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 67th, allowing 90.5 points per 100 possessions.

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