Nicholls State vs Incarnate Word Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Southland Tournament

The No. 7 seed Incarnate Word Cardinals (17-15, 9-11 Southland) will square off in the Southland tournament against the No. 3 seed Nicholls State Colonels (19-12, 13-7 Southland) on Monday at The Legacy Center, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Nicholls State vs. Incarnate Word Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Monday, March 10, 2025
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN+
- Location: Lake Charles, Louisiana
- Arena: The Legacy Center
Nicholls State vs. Incarnate Word Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Nicholls State win (59.8%)
Check out the betting trends and insights below before making a bet on Monday's Nicholls State-Incarnate Word spread (Nicholls State -3.5) or over/under (137.5 points).
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Nicholls State vs. Incarnate Word: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Nicholls State is 18-10-0 ATS this season.
- Incarnate Word has put together a 15-13-0 ATS record so far this year.
- Nicholls State covers the spread when it is a 3.5-point favorite or more 54.5% of the time. That's less often than Incarnate Word covers as an underdog of 3.5 or more (63.6%).
- The Colonels have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered six times in 12 games when playing at home, and they've covered 12 times in 16 games on the road.
- In 2024-25 against the spread, the Cardinals have a lower winning percentage at home (.417, 5-7-0 record) than on the road (.571, 8-6-0).
- Against the spread, in conference action, Nicholls State is 13-7-0 this year.
- Incarnate Word is 10-11-0 against the spread in Southland action this season.
Nicholls State vs. Incarnate Word: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Nicholls State has been victorious in nine, or 75%, of the 12 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
- The Colonels have a win-loss record of 7-3 when favored by -166 or better by sportsbooks this year.
- Incarnate Word has been the underdog on the moneyline 12 total times this season. Incarnate Word has gone 3-9 in those games.
- The Cardinals have a 2-6 record (winning just 25% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +138 or longer.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Nicholls State has a 62.4% chance of pulling out a win.
Nicholls State vs. Incarnate Word Head-to-Head Comparison
- Nicholls State averages 74.6 points per game (154th in college basketball) while allowing 69.9 per outing (112th in college basketball). It has a +146 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 4.7 points per game.
- Robert Brown III leads Nicholls State, scoring 13.1 points per game (515th in college basketball).
- Incarnate Word outscores opponents by 4.2 points per game (posting 73 points per game, 205th in college basketball, and giving up 68.8 per contest, 83rd in college basketball) and has a +137 scoring differential.
- Davion Bailey's team-leading 16.8 points per game rank him 130th in college basketball.
- The Colonels pull down 33.5 rebounds per game (91st in college basketball) compared to the 32.6 of their opponents.
- Jamal West paces the Colonels with 6.4 rebounds per game (249th in college basketball play).
- The Cardinals win the rebound battle by an average of 3.6 boards. They are grabbing 31.2 rebounds per game (221st in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 27.6.
- Dylan Hayman tops the Cardinals with 5.1 rebounds per game (577th in college basketball).
- Nicholls State puts up 94.4 points per 100 possessions (218th in college basketball), while allowing 88.5 points per 100 possessions (62nd in college basketball).
- The Cardinals' 98.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 112th in college basketball, and the 92.7 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 162nd in college basketball.
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