START YOUR OWN WINNING STREAK

Player Image
SportsBookLogo
Chevrons Texture
NFL

NFL Week 12 Spread and Total Predictions for Every Game

Subscribe to our newsletter

NFL Week 12 Spread and Total Predictions for Every Game

In the NFL, you're never lacking in prediction models to try to give you an idea of what to expect in a given week, whether those models are for betting or other purposes.

Below, we're going to run through what my spread and total models say about Week 12's NFL games.

As a disclaimer, this is my own, personal betting model. I'll lay out which bets I'm willing to make based on it compared to FanDuel Sportsbook's NFL betting odds, but as always, you'll have to decide for yourself whether there's enough value for you to the plunge, as well.

The spread model is largely based on numberFire's Net Expected Points (NEP) model, which is their version of EPA. The totals model factors in things such as pace and wind speed, as well. Numbers are manually edited to reflect the players who are expected to play in a given game.

Without further ado, here's what I've got for this upcoming slate of games.

Most recently updated late Sunday morning with updated wind speed projections and player availabilities.

NFL Week 12 Predictions

Steelers at Browns Prediction

Spread Prediction: Steelers -4.2

Total Prediction: 40.1

Betting Odds

SPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
@
Odds not available at this time.
Please check back later

Thoughts: There are 12 mph winds in Cleveland, but I do think this total should be higher. The Pittsburgh Steelers' offense has been efficient with Russell Wilson, and Jameis Winston -- for multiple reasons -- is conducive to overs.

Vikings at Bears Prediction

Spread Prediction: Vikings -5.3

Total Prediction: 40.5

Betting Odds

SPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
@
Odds not available at this time.
Please check back later

Lions at Colts Prediction

Spread Prediction: Lions -10.8

Total Prediction: 51.8

Betting Odds

SPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
@
Odds not available at this time.
Please check back later

Patriots at Dolphins Prediction

Spread Prediction: Dolphins -8.5

Total Prediction: 48.2

Betting Odds

SPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
@
Odds not available at this time.
Please check back later

Thoughts: Drake Maye has been good enough where I don't want to bet the Miami Dolphins despite showing some value.

Buccaneers at Giants Prediction

Spread Prediction: Buccaneers -8.0

Total Prediction: 44.62

Betting Odds

SPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
@
Odds not available at this time.
Please check back later

Thoughts: This is assuming Mike Evans as in and Tristan Wirfs as out for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. My numbers view Tommy DeVito as a significant downgrade, thus explaining the gap between me and the market.

Cowboys at Commanders Prediction

Spread Prediction: Commanders -14.7

Total Prediction: 51.9

Betting Odds

SPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
@
Odds not available at this time.
Please check back later

Thoughts: Similar to the Detroit Lions last week, this feels like a great spot to snag the Washington Commanders' team total rather than either traditional market. I think alt markets are firmly in play, as well.

SPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
@
Odds not available at this time.
Please check back later

Chiefs at Panthers Prediction

Spread Prediction: Chiefs -11.6

Total Prediction: 47.7

Betting Odds

SPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
@
Odds not available at this time.
Please check back later

Thoughts: The Kansas City Chiefs' offense has been efficient with DeAndre Hopkins and now likely gets Isiah Pacheco back. I think they'll be able to do damage, pushing me to agree with the model in liking the over.

Titans at Texans Prediction

Spread Prediction: Texans -10.1

Total Prediction: 43.5

Betting Odds

SPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
@
Odds not available at this time.
Please check back later

Thoughts: Now that this total has gone under a key number of 41, I'm comfortable taking the over.

Broncos at Raiders Prediction

Spread Prediction: Broncos -6.3

Total Prediction: 39.5

Betting Odds

SPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
@
Odds not available at this time.
Please check back later

49ers at Packers Prediction

Spread Prediction: Packers -5.0

Total Prediction: 44.9

Betting Odds

SPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
@
Odds not available at this time.
Please check back later

Thoughts: I was on the 49ers early in the week, but the loss of both Brock Purdy and Nick Bosa has pushed things heavily toward the Green Bay Packers.

Cardinals at Seahawks Prediction

Spread Prediction: Cardinals -2.4

Total Prediction: 47.1

Betting Odds

SPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
@
Odds not available at this time.
Please check back later

Thoughts: The Seattle Seahawks' defense looked significantly better out of the bye, so maybe they've righted the ship, which would mean my model is too low on them here. Still am comfortable backing the Arizona Cardinals at their current odds.

Eagles at Rams Prediction

Spread Prediction: Eagles -0.5

Total Prediction: 46.6

Betting Odds

SPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
@
Odds not available at this time.
Please check back later

Ravens at Chargers Prediction

Spread Prediction: Ravens -5.7

Total Prediction: 51.7

Betting Odds

SPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
@
Odds not available at this time.
Please check back later

New to FanDuel Sportsbook? You’ll receive $150 in Bonus Bets if your first bet of $5+ wins! See here for full terms and conditions. Learn about today’s other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

Which bets stand out to you this week? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's latest NFL betting odds to see the full menu of options.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!


The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

Subscribe to our newsletter

Want more stories like this?

Sign up to our newsletter to receive the latest news.

Newsletter Signup
Newsletter Signup