NFL Survivor Picks for Week 10: Siding With Seattle's Home Success

There aren't many more crucial things than nailing your NFL survivor picks, so we're here to help.

Based on numberFire's NFL survivor matrix, here are some of the best NFL survivor picks for Week 10.

NFL Survivor Picks for Week 10

These are the top five teams by expected win probability, according to numberFire's model. All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.

• Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants
  • The Giants are going to be a target for us moving forward, as they will be without QB Daniel Jones for the rest of the season. The Cowboys' win probability is pretty off the charts this week, and they're favored by 16.5. They have over a 50% pick rate, via Yahoo.
• Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos
  • This Monday Night Football matchup may not be close, so we should be able to check in on Monday Night Raw sooner than usual. The Bills are favored by 7.5 against the Broncos, who are coming off of a bye. numberFire's win probability model has Buffalo's odds at 76.1%.
• Chicago Bears vs. Carolina Panthers
  • Believe it or not, the Bears are a potential survivor pick this week. They are 3.5-point home favorites against the Panthers with a -188 moneyline. Chicago, via numberFire's nERD metric, is around 5.42 points better than the Panthers before accounting for home-field advantage.
• Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Commanders
  • Seattle is an intriguing survivor team this week. There's a chance you still have access to them, and this is also -- by far -- the best week to use them the rest of the way. Their 70.9% win probability is their only mark above 60% until Week 18, per numberFire. Seattle is favored by 6.0 points, and they're 3-1 at home.
• Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns
  • This is a divisional rematch of a game the Ravens won 28-3 in Week 4 on the road in Cleveland, but in that matchup, Dorian Thompson-Robinson started for Cleveland. This should be a tougher game for Baltimore, but the model at numberFire still likes Baltimore's win odds quite a lot. They are favored by 6.0.

Under-the-Radar, Differentiation, Risky, Desperation Survivor Picks

Based on full-season public pick percentages, these teams are likely generally available and have the best win projections this week, via numberFire's model.

• Chicago Bears vs. Carolina Panthers
  • Public Pick: 1.23%
  • numberFire Win Probability: 71.13%
  • Adjusted Win Probability: 70.44%
  • Spread: Bears -3.5
• Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots
  • Public Pick: 0.51%
  • numberFire Win Probability: 63.43%
  • Adjusted Win Probability: 63.01%
  • Spread: Colts -1.5
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Tennessee Titans
  • Public Pick: 0.10%
  • numberFire Win Probability: 61.86%
  • Adjusted Win Probability: 61.86%
  • Spread: Buccaneers -1.5

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your