NFL MVP Odds Update: Brock Purdy Remains Out Front Heading Into Holiday Showdown

Now, they say everything that shines won't always be gold. Still, approaching the final three weeks of the 2023-24 NFL regular season, Brock Purdy of the San Francisco 49ers is the clear-cut MVP frontrunner.

The fit with Purdy -- a quarterback drafted 262nd overall just a year ago -- running head coach Kyle Shanahan's dynamic offense is undeniably cohesive. With just three games left to play before the postseason, can Purdy set the bar even higher?

Staying in the NFC, Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles are stuck in a rut. Yet again, the Birds fell short in a primetime slot while Hurts committed multipled turnovers. As you'd imagine, the fourth-year quarterback's MVP stock has dwindled despite him showing as a favorite through the season's middle weeks.

With no pro football action until Thursday in Inglewood, let's dig further into the latest NFL MVP odds at FanDuel Sportsbook with an eye on specific jumps and drops.

All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.

*Denotes 2022-23 NFL AP MVP

Notable Jumps

Brock Purdy, QB, San Francisco 49ers

FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: -200

As alluded to, Brock Purdy has been the league's most consistently productive signal-caller in 2023. The numbers are overwhelmingly in his favor. On the season, Purdy ranks first in all of touchdowns (29), yards per attempt (9.9), QBR (76.0) and both plays over 20 (65) and 40 (13) yards. From there, "Mr. Relevant" is second in passing yardage (3,795) and completion percentage (69.8%).

Purdy has the opportunity to join some decorated company by becoming San Francisco's first AP NFL MVP since Steve Young in 1994-95. Keep in mind: after a sensational rookie campaign that ended in an elbow injury, Purdy entered the current season with a 40-to-1 label to win MVP at FanDuel Sportsbook. It is a bit wild to comprehend that he currently yields -200 odds in that same market.

Upcoming, Purdy can cement his status for the MVP with a stellar performance in primetime on Christmas night; the 49ers host the Baltimore Ravens in a bit of best-on-best. Could the upcoming clash in Santa Clara serve as a potential Super Bowl LVIII preview?

Many around the football community feel Purdy's place amongst the Most Valuable Player ranks is not totally justified, especially considering that he plays in the same unit as fellow MVP candidate Christian McCaffrey (among other talented players).

The All-Pro CMC has scored 20 total touchdowns in 14 games, but a running back has not won the award since Adrian Peterson in 2012. Either way, McCaffrey's prowess could take some sting out of Purdy's resume.

Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills

FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: +800

Riding the highs and lows of a roller-coaster regular season, Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills seem to be back in a "New York Groove." Currently, Bills Mafia has won back-to-back games against the Kansas City Chiefs and Dallas Cowboys, respectively.

Strangely enough, Allen is not blistering the stat sheet, as he hasn't thrown multiple TDs in a game since the Week 12 loss at Philadelphia. Additionally, Buffalo is still two games behind the Miami Dolphins for the AFC East lead. When it comes to quarterbacks earning league MVP, winning the division is essentially -- but not formally -- a prerequisite.

Macro scale, Allen is still top-10 in many significant passing categories this year. At the moment, he is eighth in yardage (3,541), third in QBR (69.7) and tied for third for touchdowns (26). Still, Allen does have an issue with turnovers; his 14 interceptions in 2023 are the second-most of all quarterbacks, adding to his three lost fumbles.

At FanDuel Sportsbook, Allen's MVP odds have fluctuated quite sporadically. Heading into Week 7, Allen yielded as short as +750 odds to win MVP, and he was showing as long as 30-to-1 in the same market approaching Week 14.

Fast-forward to now, and the Wyoming alum is back down at eight-to-one odds, which is the third-shortest listing on the board.

Steep Drops

Jalen Hurts, QB, Philadelphia Eagles

FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: +3000

As last season's MVP runner-up, Jalen Hurts has shown flashes of that same brilliance in 2023, but he's been noticeably less consistent as a passer. Year-to-year, Hurts' interception total has already doubled from 6 to 12. From there, his five lost fumbles propel him to 17 total turnovers this season, which is tied with the aforementioned Allen and Sam Howell for the NFL's most.

Very notably, the Eagles have lost three consecutive games, which includes two defeats in primetime in addition to a 23-point trouncing at home versus San Francisco. Over the current losing streak, Hurts has not eclipsed 300 yards passing in any game, totaling just one touchdown through the air.

Of course, Hurts remains a prolific threat with his legs. In last Monday's loss to the Seattle Seahawks, Philly's quarterback did well to provide two rushing scores of his own. That gives him 14 touchdowns on the ground this year, which is a career-best mark for Hurts. Also, that ties the NFL record for rushing TDs by a quarterback in a single season (with rookie Cam Newton).

For what it's worth, Hurts has been the most popular selection in the MVP market at FanDuel Sportsbook, accounting for the largest total handle of any single player in this market. If you are one of the many bettors with a "Hurts for MVP" slip, now might be the time to consider an exit strategy.

Tyreek Hill, WR, Miami Dolphins

FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: +2500

Having a campaign for the ages, Tyreek Hill is undoubtedly one of the top athletes on the planet. At the moment, he is sitting on 1,542 receiving yards (along with a dozen scores). If Hill can compile a total of 458 yards through the air over the Dolphins' final three regular-season contests (or 152.7 YPG), "Cheetah" will be the first NFL player to ever reach the alluring 2,000-yard receiving mark.

Transparently, Hill had much more steam for this accolade prior to missing last week's game with an ankle injury. Before then, he had four games left in the year, needing a much more manageable 114.5 receiving YPG. Now, Hill will require at least a couple of Herculean efforts to close out the campaign if he is to get back into the MVP race.

Of course, throughout history, no receiver has won league MVP. With many dazzling years from previous and current wideouts on record, it is tough to imagine that Hill will win the honor having missed a game -- especially a bid Miami went on to win 30-0. Still, Cheetah's 11.7 yards per target on 97 receptions this year is absolutely something to marvel at.

Whether or not Hill gets to 2,000 receiving yards remains to be seen. However, he has garnered overwhelming MVP support at FanDuel Sportsbook, bringing in more MVP bets than anyone in 2023 outside of Jalen Hurts.

For Tyreek, he closes out the regular season by facing the Ravens and Bills after next hosting Dallas. With high-profile matchups like that, Hill can still steal the MVP behind multiple show-stopping performances, but he must be available this week against the 'Boys to make that a possibility.

Honorable Mention

Trending Up

• Christian McCaffrey +1200

Falling Down

• Dak Prescott +900

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.