New Mexico vs Boise State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MWC Tournament

The No. 1 seed New Mexico Lobos (26-6, 17-3 MWC) and the No. 5 seed Boise State Broncos (23-9, 14-6 MWC) will try to advance in the MWC tournament on Friday as they square off at 9:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

New Mexico vs. Boise State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 14, 2025
• Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS Sports Network
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
• Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

New Mexico vs. Boise State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: New Mexico win (55.8%)

Read the betting trends and insights below before placing a bet on Friday's New Mexico-Boise State spread (New Mexico -1.5) or total (146.5 points).

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New Mexico vs. Boise State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• New Mexico has put together a 15-16-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Boise State has covered 17 times in 31 chances against the spread this season.
• As a 1.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Boise State is 3-2 against the spread compared to the 12-13 ATS record New Mexico racks up as a 1.5-point favorite.
• The Lobos have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered eight times in 16 opportunities at home, and they've covered five times in 11 opportunities in away games.
• The Broncos have been better against the spread at home (10-4-0) than on the road (5-6-0) this season.
• New Mexico's record against the spread in conference games is 10-11-0.
• Boise State's MWC record against the spread is 13-8-0.

New Mexico vs. Boise State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• New Mexico has come away with 22 wins in the 25 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• This season, the Lobos have come away with a win 21 times in 24 chances when named as a favorite of at least -126 or better on the moneyline.
• Boise State has compiled a 1-3 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 25% of those games).
• The Broncos are 1-3 (winning only 25% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +105 or longer.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that New Mexico has a 55.8% chance of pulling out a win.

New Mexico vs. Boise State Head-to-Head Comparison

• New Mexico outscores opponents by 10.9 points per game (scoring 81.6 per game to rank 25th in college basketball while giving up 70.7 per contest to rank 138th in college basketball) and has a +349 scoring differential overall.
• Donovan Dent is 10th in the nation with a team-high 20.5 points per game.
• Boise State puts up 75.6 points per game (128th in college basketball) while giving up 65.9 per outing (33rd in college basketball). It has a +310 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 9.7 points per game.
• Tyson Degenhart is ranked 83rd in the nation with a team-leading 17.7 points per game.
• The Lobos prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 4.2 boards. They are pulling down 35.5 rebounds per game (28th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 31.3 per contest.
• Nelly Junior Joseph is third in college basketball action with 11.3 rebounds per game to lead the Lobos.
• The Broncos rank 66th in the country at 34.0 rebounds per game. That's 8.2 more than the 25.8 their opponents average.
• Degenhart is 297th in the nation with 6.1 rebounds per game, leading the Broncos.
• New Mexico's 99.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 94th in college basketball, and the 85.9 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 21st in college basketball.
• The Broncos' 103.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 29th in college basketball, and the 90.1 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 93rd in college basketball.

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