Nevada vs Fresno State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MWC Tournament

The No. 7 seed Nevada Wolf Pack (16-15, 8-12 MWC) and the No. 10 seed Fresno State Bulldogs (6-25, 2-18 MWC) will try to move on in the MWC tournament on Wednesday as they meet at 4:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Nevada vs. Fresno State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
• Game time: 4:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: MW Network
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
• Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

Nevada vs. Fresno State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Nevada win (90.3%)

Nevada is a 12.5-point favorite over Fresno State on Wednesday and the total is set at 137.5 points. Below are some betting trends and insights if you plan to place a wager on the game.

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Nevada vs. Fresno State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Nevada has covered 14 times in 31 chances against the spread this season.
• Fresno State has won 16 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 15 times.
• When the spread is set as 12.5 or more this season, Nevada (4-3) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (57.1%) than Fresno State (9-7) does as the underdog (56.2%).
• Against the spread, the Wolf Pack have performed better at home, covering nine times in 17 home games, and three times in 11 road games.
• The Bulldogs have been better against the spread at home (9-5-0) than on the road (5-10-0) this year.
• Against the spread, in conference play, Nevada is 6-14-0 this season.
• Fresno State is 10-10-0 against the spread in MWC games this season.

Nevada vs. Fresno State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Nevada has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 24 games this year and has walked away with the win 16 times (66.7%) in those games.
• The Wolf Pack have been a -901 moneyline favorite on seven occasions this season and won every game.
• Fresno State has gone 2-25 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 7.4% of those games).
• The Bulldogs have played in 16 games as a moneyline underdog with odds of +590 or longer without earning a win.
• Nevada has an implied victory probability of 90% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Nevada vs. Fresno State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Nevada's +131 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.2 points per game) is a result of scoring 72.3 points per game (224th in college basketball) while allowing 68.1 per contest (64th in college basketball).
• Nick Davidson leads Nevada, scoring 15.7 points per game (206th in the country).
• Fresno State has a -305 scoring differential, falling short by 9.8 points per game. It is putting up 70.7 points per game, 269th in college basketball, and is allowing 80.5 per contest to rank 351st in college basketball.
• Jalen Weaver is 610th in the nation with a team-high 12.5 points per game.
• The Wolf Pack are 322nd in the nation at 29.3 rebounds per game. That's 1.2 more than the 28.1 their opponents average.
• Davidson leads the Wolf Pack with 6.4 rebounds per game (251st in college basketball action).
• The Bulldogs lose the rebound battle by 6.1 boards on average. They collect 31.3 rebounds per game, 214th in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 37.4.
• Elijah Price's 8.2 rebounds per game lead the Bulldogs and rank 52nd in college basketball.
• Nevada's 100.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 68th in college basketball, and the 94.9 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 222nd in college basketball.
• The Bulldogs' 85.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 352nd in college basketball, and the 97.9 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 300th in college basketball.

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