Nevada vs Fresno State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MWC Tournament

The No. 7 seed Nevada Wolf Pack (16-15, 8-12 MWC) square off in the MWC tournament against the No. 10 seed Fresno State Bulldogs (6-25, 2-18 MWC) on Wednesday at Thomas & Mack Center, tipping off at 4:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Nevada vs. Fresno State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
• Game time: 4:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: MW Network
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
• Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

Nevada vs. Fresno State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Nevada win (90.2%)

Before you bet on Wednesday's Nevada-Fresno State spread (Nevada -12.5) or over/under (138.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

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Nevada vs. Fresno State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Nevada has won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
• Fresno State is 16-15-0 ATS this season.
• As a 12.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Nevada is 4-3 against the spread compared to the 9-7 ATS record Fresno State racks up as a 12.5-point underdog.
• The Wolf Pack own a better record against the spread when playing at home (9-8-0) than they do in away games (3-8-0).
• The Bulldogs' winning percentage against the spread at home is .643 (9-5-0). Away, it is .333 (5-10-0).
• Nevada is 6-14-0 against the spread in conference play this season.
• Against the spread in MWC games, Fresno State is 10-10-0 this season.

Nevada vs. Fresno State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Nevada has come away with 16 wins in the 24 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Wolf Pack have yet to lose in seven games when named as moneyline favorite of -1053 or better.
• Fresno State has a 2-25 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 7.4% of those games).
• The Bulldogs have played 14 times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +660 or longer, and lost each game.
• Nevada has an implied victory probability of 91.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Nevada vs. Fresno State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Nevada is outscoring opponents by 4.2 points per game with a +131 scoring differential overall. It puts up 72.3 points per game (224th in college basketball) and allows 68.1 per outing (64th in college basketball).
• Nick Davidson's team-leading 15.7 points per game ranks 206th in the country.
• Fresno State is being outscored by 9.8 points per game, with a -305 scoring differential overall. It puts up 70.7 points per game (269th in college basketball), and gives up 80.5 per contest (351st in college basketball).
• Jalen Weaver's 12.5 points per game paces Fresno State and ranks 610th in college basketball.
• The 29.3 rebounds per game the Wolf Pack average rank 322nd in the nation, and are 1.2 more than the 28.1 their opponents record per contest.
• Davidson's 6.4 rebounds per game lead the Wolf Pack and rank 251st in college basketball play.
• The Bulldogs fall short in the rebound battle by an average of 6.1 boards. They are collecting 31.3 rebounds per game (214th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 37.4.
• Elijah Price tops the team with 8.2 rebounds per game (52nd in college basketball).
• Nevada averages 100.8 points per 100 possessions (68th in college basketball), while giving up 94.9 points per 100 possessions (222nd in college basketball).
• The Bulldogs rank 352nd in college basketball with 85.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 300th defensively with 97.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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