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NBA Betting: When Will LeBron James Record His 40,000th Point?
LeBron James already owns the NBA's career scoring record, and he's trending toward another milestone: 40,000 points.
As of January 17th, James has recorded 39,566 points, leaving him 434 points shy of the unprecedented number of 40,000.
When will he drop point 40,000?
According to FanDuel Sportsbook's NBA specials markets, a few games are more likely than others.
NBA Betting: When Will LeBron James Record His 40,000th Point?
In Which Game Will LeBron James Score his 40,000th Regular Season Point | FanDuel Sportsbook Odds |
|---|---|
| February 13 Vs Detroit Pistons | +9000 |
| February 14 At Utah Jazz | +3700 |
| February 22 At Golden State Warriors | +1300 |
| February 23 Vs San Antonio Spurs | +850 |
| February 25 At Phoenix Suns | +500 |
| February 28 At Los Angeles Clippers | +460 |
| February 29 Vs Washington Wizards | +550 |
Based on the odds, the most likely game for James to get to 40,000 is his February 28th matchup against the Los Angeles Clippers.
James is scoring 24.7 points per game, meaning -- at that pace -- he would need 17.6 more games to get to 40k. That Clippers game is 19 games away.
James has missed 4 of 41 team games this year, which is something to keep in mind in this market, as well.
Interestingly, James' splits are noticeable at home (23.0 points per game) versus the road (26.7 points per game). Of the Los Angeles Lakers' next 19 games, 11 are on the road.
If he were to keep up his home/road splits and play in every game, he'd actually surpass 40,000 on February 25th against the Phoenix Suns.
NBA Betting: How Will LeBron James Record His 40,000th Point?
Method of LeBron James' Basket to Score his 40,000th Regular Season Point | FanDuel Sportsbook Odds |
|---|---|
| Dunk | +850 |
| Other | +490 |
| Three Point Field Goal | +270 |
| Layup | +155 |
| Free Throw | +420 |
This regular season, James has made 343 field goals and 150 free throw attempts, via NBA Stats. In total, he has 914 points as of January 17th.
Here's a breakdown of the points scored by shot type:
LeBron James Points by Shot Type | Frequency |
|---|---|
| Layup | 34.8% |
| Free Throw | 16.4% |
| Three Point Field Goal | 25.6% |
| Dunk | 9.4% |
| Other | 13.8% |
It's no wonder that the odds favor him to get his 40,000th point via layup, though to do so by three-pointer is pretty interesting, as well.
Also interesting, though, is that James used a two-point jumper (i.e. "other" shot type) to break the all-time scoring record, eclipse 30,000 points, and surpass 20,000 points.
The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.
