NBA Betting Picks for Monday 11/6/23: Will Mavericks Gallop to an Underdog Win?

The 82-game NBA regular season offers us a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. The Association features 1,230 regular season games, which can make sifting through the odds an overwhelming task.

However, various advanced statistics can help narrow the choices. numberFire's NBA power rankings and daily projections paired with advanced stats from the NBA can help give the inside track to winning big.

While utilizing some of the mentioned tools, which NBA odds from FanDuel Sportsbook look like the best bets today?

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Best Bets

San Antonio Spurs at Indiana Pacers

Over 238.5 (-110)

The San Antonio Spurs against the Indiana Pacers features the highest total of the night at 238.5. The total is sky high yet I'm still taking the over. Why are the Spurs-Pacers poised to engage in a back-and-forth affair?

Indiana has one of the NBA's best offenses, ranking seventh in offensive rating. San Antonio's unit has been mediocre, as they rank 18th in the category. However, the Spurs have shown flashes, averaging 121.0 points per game (PPG) over their last three games.

Most importantly, both defenses have struggled; the Pacers have the worst defensive rating in the league, and San Antonio has the fifth-worst mark.

Both teams have seen their star players erupt in recent games, as well. Indiana's Tyrese Haliburton has been dropping dimes left and right with a league-best 12.4 assists per game (APG). Side note: picks that backed Haliburton to lead the league in assists are in the perfect spot.

Haliburton has showcased his scoring ability, as he totaled a career-high 43 points on November 4th. The Spurs lack a sound defensive backcourt with Keldon Johnson (115.9 rating) and Malaki Branham (116.5 rating). Haliburton could feast for the second consecutive game.

Victor Wembanyama has also proved why he is FanDuel's clear favorite to win Rookie of the Year (-350) when looking at NBA award odds. The 7-foot-4 rookie is averaging 29.0 PPG over his previous two games while shooting 52.4% from the floor.

With the over going 5-1 for both teams this season, I expect a flurry of points for tonight's matchup. Prop bets for Haliburton and Wembanyama could form a tantalizing parlay, which is perfect for FanDuel Sportsbook's Same Game Parlay 30% Profit Boost promotion.

Dallas Mavericks at Orlando Magic

Mavericks Moneyline (+102)

The Orlando Magic have been one of the biggest surprises in the Association thus far. They feature the second-best mark in defensive rating, and their star player, Paolo Banchero, seems to be waking up after recording 27.5 PPG with a 64.3 field goal percentage (FG%) over his last two games.

According to FanDuel's NBA playoffs odds, Orlando is now +126 to make the postseason. The Magic will see another potential playoff team tonight against the Dallas Mavericks, who are -265 to earn a postseason berth.

This will be an elite-against-elite matchup. The Magic boast the NBA's second-best defense, and the Mavs have the second-best offensive rating. Orlando (4-2) and Dallas (5-1) holding some of the league's best records has been a big surprise.

With the Dallas moneyline at +102, I'm backing the underdog. Yes, the Magic's defense has been impressive. However, the Mavericks' offense is at another level led by Luka Doncic, who has the second-shortest odds to win MVP (+420).

Free throw shooting is one area where Dallas could flourish. They attempt 25.3 free throws per game (6th), and Orlando allows 20.8 free throws per game (12th) and average 20.8 fouls per game (20th).

I'm still skeptical about the Magic. The defense has played well, but the offense is still streaky as they rank 25th in effective field goal percentage (eFG%).

Los Angeles Lakers at Miami Heat

Lakers Moneyline (+100)

The Miami Heat have relied on exceptional defense for multiple seasons, as they have finished among the top 10 in defensive rating in the last three seasons.

However, this trend has come to a screeching halt so far with the Heat ranked 16th in defensive rating. The Los Angeles Lakers could take advantage of Miami's early defensive slide.

Anthony Davis has been red-hot with a team-best 26.3 PPG and 13.0 rebounds per game (RPG). Over his previous five outings, Davis is averaging 28.2 PPG with a 58.9 FG%. This has elevated Los Angeles to one of the league's best paint-scoring offenses (seventh in points in the paint per game).

The Heat are 21st in points in the paint allowed per game and 22nd in opponent two-point percentage. Bam Adebayo has a 113.0 defensive rating, which is on pace for a career low.

Los Angeles' advantage in the paint could lead to the road victory.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.