Murray State vs Evansville Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MVC Tournament

The No. 7 seed Murray State Racers (15-16, 9-11 MVC) play the No. 10 seed Evansville Purple Aces (11-20, 8-12 MVC) in the MVC tournament Thursday at Enterprise Center, starting at 7 p.m. ET. Both teams will attempt to take one step closer to securing an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Murray State vs. Evansville Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 6, 2025
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: St. Louis, Missouri
• Arena: Enterprise Center

Murray State is a 5.5-point favorite over Evansville on Thursday and the total is set at 130.5 points. Keep reading for a few betting trends and insights to help you make an informed wager on the matchup.

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Murray State vs. Evansville: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Murray State is 14-16-0 ATS this season.
• Evansville has compiled a 15-15-0 record against the spread this year.
• As a 5.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Evansville is 11-8 against the spread compared to the 4-6 ATS record Murray State puts up as a 5.5-point favorite.
• The Racers have done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (7-6-0) than they have at home (4-7-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Purple Aces have a better winning percentage at home (.533, 8-7-0 record) than on the road (.467, 7-8-0).
• Murray State has nine wins against the spread in 20 conference games this season.
• Evansville is 13-7-0 against the spread in MVC action this season.

Murray State vs. Evansville: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Murray State has come away with 10 wins in the 17 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• This year, the Racers have won six of nine games when listed as at least -230 or better on the moneyline.
• Evansville has won 30.8% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (8-18).
• The Purple Aces have gone 5-13 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +188 or longer (27.8%).
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Murray State has a 69.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Murray State vs. Evansville Head-to-Head Comparison

• Murray State outscores opponents by 2.5 points per game (scoring 72.1 per game to rank 235th in college basketball while allowing 69.6 per contest to rank 104th in college basketball) and has a +76 scoring differential overall.
• Jacobi Wood ranks 446th in college basketball with a team-high 13.5 points per game.
• Evansville's -129 scoring differential (being outscored by 4.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 66.5 points per game (342nd in college basketball) while giving up 70.6 per contest (139th in college basketball).
• Tayshawn Comer paces Evansville, recording 16.0 points per game (186th in college basketball).
• The Racers are 283rd in college basketball at 30.3 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 29.5 their opponents average.
• AJ Ferguson's 5.7 rebounds per game lead the Racers and rank 394th in college basketball play.
• The Purple Aces average 29.5 rebounds per game (317th in college basketball) while conceding 32.5 per contest to opponents. They are outrebounded by 3.0 boards per game.
• Tanner Cuff averages 6.3 rebounds per game (265th in college basketball) to lead the Purple Aces.
• Murray State ranks 152nd in college basketball with 96.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 183rd in college basketball defensively with 93.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Purple Aces average 89.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (322nd in college basketball), and allow 95.1 points per 100 possessions (228th in college basketball).

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