MLB

MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Friday 5/3/24

Skyler Carlin
Skyler Carlin@skyler_carlin
MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Friday 5/3/24

Looking for a new way to bet on Major League Baseball this summer? A Same Game Parlay (SGP) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the answer!

SGPs allow you to combine two or more selections from the same game for a higher potential payout. For more information about parlays, SGP, and SGP+, head over to FanDuel.

Here at FanDuel Research, we're going to provide some SGPs builds to consider based on the games and props available for today, but there are plenty more popular parlay ideas available at FanDuel's Parlay Hub, too!

Which correlated bets stand out for today's MLB slate? Let's dig in.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check FanDuel Research's projections to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB Same Game Parlay Bets for Friday 5/3/24

Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees

Reese Olson Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-166)
Juan Soto to Record 2+ Total Bases (+120)

Combined Odds: +229

Reese Olson has experienced an up-and-down start to the 2024 season for the Detroit Tigers, recording eight strikeouts in two starts while giving up six earned runs in another start. Despite being in the 85th percentile in chase rate (33.1%) and 73rd percentile in whiff rate (29.5%), Olson is only in the 41st percentile in strikeout rate (21.1%).

Olson's chase and whiff rate may not be very valuable against a New York Yankees team that has the second-lowest swing rate on pitches outside of the strike zone (27.3%). While Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton both have strikeout rates of 28% or higher, the addition of Juan Soto has helped the Yankees register the seventh-lowest strikeout rate (20.4%) to right-handed pitching.

FanDuel Research's daily projections have Olson finishing with only 4.85 strikeouts in Friday's showdown against the Yankees. Olson has logged six-plus strikeouts in only two of his first five starts this year.

Speaking of Soto, there is fantastic value in taking the All-Star outfielder to tally two-plus bases. Soto is amid a 10-game hit streak, and he's accrued three multi-hit performances and five extra-base hits in that span.

Although the sample size isn't large, both of Soto's hits in his three career plate appearances versus Olson were homers while he was walked in the other appearance. With a short porch in right field at Yankee Stadium -- and the fact Olson is in the 20th percentile in hard-hit rate (45.0%) -- Soto has +440 odds to hit a home run.

Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins

Tanner Houck Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-128)
Rafael Devers to Record a Hit (-300)
First 5 Innings Result: Boston Red Sox (+114)

Combined Odds: +298

The starting rotation of the Boston Red Sox has been elite to begin the campaign, posting the sixth-best SIERA (3.57), second-lowest WHIP (1.01), and the ninth-highest strikeout rate (23.1%). One reason why the Red Sox have gotten positive production from their starting pitchers is the fact Tanner Houck is pitching like a true ace.

Across his first six starts in 2024, Houck is in the 76th percentile in xERA (3.03) and 75th percentile in barrel rate (4.7%) while giving up two or fewer earned runs in five of his starts. In terms of swings-and-misses, Houck is in the 77th percentile in chase rate (31.3%), 60th percentile in whiff rate (27.2%), and 71st percentile in strikeout rate (26.5%).

With seven-plus Ks in four of his first six starts on the mound, Houck has an advantageous matchup versus the Minnesota Twins on Friday. The Twins are striking out at the sixth-highest rate (24.9%) against right-handed pitchers.

Chris Paddack is on the bump for Minnesota, and he's permitted six-plus hits in all five of his starts thus far, and he's surrendered eight-plus hits in two of his last three starts. Given Paddack's tendency to let runners on base, we'll take Rafael Devers to record a hit for the Red Sox.

Following a slow start at the plate, Devers is on an eight-game hitting streak. The combination of Houck pitching for Boston and Paddack getting the nod for Minnesota makes me lean in favor of the Red Sox in the first five innings.

Boston has held a lead or been tied in the first five innings in five of Houck's first six starts.

Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers

Ozzie Albies to Record 2+ Total Bases (-110)
Freddie Freeman to Record 2+ Total Bases (+110)

Combined Odds: +318

We could be treated to fireworks on Friday with the Atlanta Braves and Los Angeles Dodgers beginning a three-game series. In a matchup between two of the most lethal lineups in baseball, let's take a couple of bats in this contest to record multiple bases.

To get things started, we'll side with Ozzie Albies to notch two-plus bases for the Braves. Albies is on a six-game hit streak since returning from a toe injury, producing multiple bases in five of his last six appearances.

Gavin Stone is a starter for the Dodgers who struggles to get left-handed batters out, allowing a .415 wOBA and .460 OBP to lefties compared to a .225 wOBA and .224 OBP to righties this season. Meanwhile, Albies -- who hits from both sides of the plate -- is sporting a .397 wOBA, .403 OBP, and 156 wRC+ versus righties compared to a .386 wOBA, .360 OBP, and 149 wRC+ to left-handed pitching to begin the year.

On the other hand, we have a revenge-game narrative with Freddie Freeman taking on his former team on Friday night. Freeman has tallied at least one hit in 10 of his last 11 games, and he's posted two-plus bases or multiple hits in six of his last 11 contests.

Additionally, Freeman has had success against Charlie Morton throughout his career. In his 20 career plate appearances versus Morton, Freeman has recorded 10 hits -- including six extra-base hits.

On top of that, Morton is allowing a .326 wOBA and .346 OBP to left-handed bats compared to a .216 wOBA and .214 OBP to right-handed bats. When it comes to both players going deep in Friday's showdown, Albies has +430 odds to hit a home run while Freeman has +520 odds to hit a home run.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.