MLB

MLB Betting: 3 Best Player Prop Bets for Wednesday 7/24/24

Riley Thomas
Riley Thomas_riley8

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Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy baseball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Utilizing our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, here are some MLB player props bets that look appealing via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note that betting lines and projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

MLB Player Props

Anthony Santander to Hit a Home Run (+400)

The Baltimore Orioles' outfielder Anthony Santander is streaking in July, carrying a .302 batting average and a .343 OBP. He keeps delivering home runs, too, with a .603 slugging percentage (SLG) and five dingers this month.

He's really upped the production over his last six games, launching four dingers during the span. Santander touts the fifth-most homers in MLB (27) -- only one behind his teammate, Gunnar Henderson.

We see Santander's numbers lift off when he is facing right-handed hurlers as he's carrying a .250 batting average and .545 SLG in the split, versus a .221 average and .453 SLG against southpaws. The majority of his dingers (21 of 27) have also come against righties.

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Baltimore's slugger should be licking his chops for Wednesday's matchup against the Miami Marlins, who will put Edward Cabrera on the bump.

One quick look at Cabrera's stats proves Santander is an excellent pick to go yard. Cabrera has a 7.36 ERA and 1.67 WHIP while sitting in the bottom 3% of hard-hit percentage. He's given up at least one big fly in six straight starts while allowing five over his previous two contests.

Additionally, Santander is hitting over his season average of .242 against two of Cabrera's three most-used pitches (changeup and curveball).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to Record 2+ Total Bases (-105)

After tying for the 5th-fewest runs allowed per game in 2023, the Tampa Bay Rays have fallen to the 10th-worst spot in this category. Zach Eflin's drop in numbers -- going from a 3.30 SIERA last season to 3.91 in 2024 -- has been one of several factors causing the huge downgrade in pitching.

In three of his last five outings, Eflin has given up at least four earned runs (4.20 ERA during span). Circling a batter on the Toronto Blue Jays to take advantage of Eflin's drop in numbers seems like a wise choice.

Toronto's top batter of 2024 remains Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as he leads the team in batting average, OBP, home runs, RBIs, and total hits -- that's quite a list. He's also riding a four-game hitting streak while logging 9 hits in his last 22 at-bats (.409) in that time.

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We have a decent sample size of Guerrero vs. Eflin -- with Vladdy totaling 4 hits in 13 at-bats (.308), two of the four hits went for extra-base hits.

Guerrero is hitting over .300 against Eflin's most-used pitches -- sinker, cutter, and curveball.

The writing is on the wall -- Vladdy has a good chance of reaching at least two bases.

Tyler Glasnow Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-128)

Tyler Glasnow has fallen behind in the National League Cy Young race, holding +3500 odds to win the NL Cy Young award. However, he remains an excellent candidate to stack strikeouts as he boast the fifth-most Ks in baseball despite missing some time.

The Los Angeles Dodgers' ace has reached at least seven Ks in six of his previous seven contests. When Glasnow has completed the sixth inning, he's reached at least seven strikeouts in 12 of 13 games. The length of his start could determine Wednesday's total.

He will be on the rubber against the San Francisco Giants, who have the 15th-fewest runs scored paired with the 15th-lowest wOBA. This drops against righties (11th-fewest runs; 7th-lowest wOBA).

The Giants also rank outside the top 10 in runs above average against four-seam fastballs and sliders -- Glasnow's most-used pitches. Keep in mind his slider has a 34.8% strikeout percentage (K%) and 41.2% whiff rate.

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One of Glasnow's clear weaknesses has been sitting in the bottom 36% in average exit velocity and bottom 47% in hard-hit percentage. San Francisco's bats lack pop, though, holding the 12th-lowest SLG and 7th-lowest home run percentage.

As long as Glasnow is ready to go in his first start off the IL, a lot of things are pointing to over 6.5 strikeouts.


All customers get a 30% Profit Boost to use on a "To Hit a Home Run" wager on any MLB game on July 24th! See here for full terms and conditions. Learn about today’s other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

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