MLB Betting: 3 Best Player Prop Bets for Tuesday 7/23/24

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy baseball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Utilizing our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, here are some MLB player props bets that look appealing via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note that betting lines and projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

MLB Player Props

Bobby Witt Jr. To Hit A Home Run (+440)

Bobby Witt Jr. may not have won the Home Run Derby, but he's been treating the last few games like batting practice.

Witt has notched three hits in all four games since the All-Star break. In total, he's gone 12-for-15 at the plate in this span, including two doubles, one triple, and two home runs. He's as on fire as they get, but that's not the only reason to target his home run prop.

Jordan Montgomery will get the ball for the opposing Arizona Diamondbacks. He hasn't pitched in nearly one month after a stint on the IL and has posted a 6.44 ERA and 5.14 xERA on the season.

Montgomery has been kind to opposing righties, surrendering a .338 BA and .548 SLG to this handedness, good for a .210 ISO. He's also allowed righties a 35.4% fly-ball rate, 38.3% hard-hit rate, and 1.35 home runs per nine innings.

Witt, on the other hand, has mashed against lefties to the tune of a .344 BA, .219 ISO, and a 46.4% fly-ball rate. He's also striking out at a low 14.7% rate and walking at a mere 2.9% rate versus southpaws.

Across the last 30 days of play, Witt has managed a 17.3% barrel rate (15th-best in MLB), 57.3% hard-hit rate (5th), 49.3% fly-ball rate (9th), and a .356 ISO (7th).

We're not just trailing a hot hand here. This is an awesome matchup against Montgomery and we're getting surprisingly friendly +440 odds.

I'd also consider Witt Jr. To Record An RBI (+100) given the all-around landscape of this matchup.

Oneil Cruz To Record an RBI (+125)

Oneil Cruz has been swinging a hot bat and is a worthy target in today's batter props market.

Across the last 30 days of play, Cruz has smashed for a 21.6% barrel rate (10th-best in MLB; minimum 80 PA), 64.7% hard-hit rate (2nd), and a .256 ISO. He and the Pittsburgh Pirates are in for an intriguing matchup against a volatile Lance Lynn, so let's target Cruz to knock in a run.

Lynn comes in with a 4.39 ERA, 4.91 xERA, and 4.28 SIERA. He's prone to blowups, ceding at least four earned in 6 of his last 13 starts and even getting hit with 10 earned in one of those outings.

Cruz sports a .502 SLG, 132 wRC+, 37.0% fly-ball rate, and 44.4% hard-hit rate versus right-handed pitchers. He's recorded 51 RBIs through 89 games and is in an advantageous spot batting third in the lineup. Bryan Reynolds precedes Cruz at the second spot. Reynolds owns a .374 wOBA against righties, so I like his chances to get on base before Cruz.

Lynn gives up a .465 SLG, 40.6% fly-ball rate, and 1.61 home runs per nine innings to left-handed batters. Pair that with Cruz's 21.6% barrel rate across the last 30 days, and Pittsburgh's shortstop could be in a great spot to hit a dinger. With this in mind, I'd consider Cruz To Hit A Home Run (+400), too.

Logan Gilbert Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+102)

Logan Gilbert owns a 24.8% K% and fans 8.43 batters per nine innings. These are good marks, but when you add in a league-best 0.87 WHIP that allows Gilbert to pitch deep into games, his strikeout potential skyrockets. He's punched out at least seven batters in 9 out of 20 starts, missing by the hook on five occasions.

Since he's cleared this prop in 45.0% of games and punched out at least six batters in 70.0% of games, I'm satisfied with the shake we are getting on these +102 odds (49.5% implied probability), particularly given his matchup for tonight.

Gilbert will throw opposite the Los Angeles Angels. Los Angeles is striking out a middle-of-the-road 23.0% rate (15th) versus righties. However, their overall marks against righties are brutal. The team is producing a .231 BA (24th), .374 SLG (25th), and .299 wOBA (25th) in this split.

Pair L.A.'s .299 wOBA with Gilbert's 0.87 WHIP, and I feel confident that Seattle's ace can pitch deep into this game -- at least enough to exceed 6.5 strikeouts.

Gilbert's most recent start was against the Angels. He tossed seven innings and allowed just two baserunners while punching out nine batters. The Angels don't have many crafty hitters in their lineup, so I'll side with Gilbert to win out once again.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.