MLB All-Star Game Best Bets for 2024

Baseball has you covered if you want a large inventory of options to bet.

From moneylines to run totals to first-five-inning wagers, we have plenty of ways to bet the long, arduous MLB schedule daily. Outlooks can be vastly different due to starting pitchers, and a wealth of advanced stats can let us know if an individual pitcher, a bullpen, or a team is due for positive -- or negative -- regression.

Using numberFire's projections as a guide, which MLB odds from FanDuel Sportsbook are most appealing today?

Note: Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check here to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

2024 MLB All-Star Game Betting Picks

National League vs. American League

Race to 6 Runs: Neither (-134)

The MLB All-Star Game certainly favors pitchers as hitters see one or two ABs before being replaced, preventing them from finding a groove at the plate. While Paul Skenes and Corbin Burnes should hold things down to begin the game, both the National League and American League have exciting relievers who don't surrender many runs.

Even though looking at previous All-Star Games isn't going to entirely help us predict what occurs on Tuesday, we've seen lower-scoring contests in recent years. In each of the past two All-Star Games, the final score has been 3-2 -- with both teams each logging a win.

Since the 2018 All-Star Game, neither the NL or AL has tallied six-plus runs. Globe Life Field also has the second-lowest park factor for runs this season, putting it only ahead of T-Mobile Park -- which is where last year's All Star Game took place.

Given the advantage pitchers have and the venue, neither team to score six-plus runs appears to be a solid choice.

First 5 Innings Total Runs: Under 3.5 (+108)

Just to continue off the idea of pitchers dominating in this format, it's tough to envision many runs being produced in the first five innings. Skenes and Burnes are both in the 88th percentile or better in xERA, and they'll pitch the first inning before likely handing the ball to the next starter.

Even when the AL secured an 8-6 victory over the NL in 2018, there were only three runs scored in the first five innings. To find the last All-Star Game with four-plus runs plated in the first five frames, you'd have to go all the way back to the 2016 edition.

Furthermore, there has been four-plus combined runs put up in the first five innings in only 1 of the last 10 MLB All-Star Games. Slow starts have been a common theme for the MLB All-Star festivities for quite some time.

Paul Skenes Velocity of First Pitch: 99.0-100.0 MPH (+370)

All eyes will be on Skenes when he takes the mound for the NL in the first inning. Skenes -- who has the shortest odds to win NL Rookie of the Year (-1100) -- has lit the baseball world on fire in his rookie year with the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Across 11 starts for the Pirates, Skenes is rocking an elite 2.40 SIERA and 2.25 xFIP while ranking in the 96th percentile in xERA (2.62), 90th percentile in xBA (.205), and 98th percentile in strikeout rate (34.9%). What makes Skenes an exciting pitcher to watch every time he is on the bump is the fact he is also in the 99th percentile in average fastball velocity at 99.1 MPH.

There's a good chance that Skenes begins his All-Star debut with a fastball as it's the pitch he throws the most out of his arsenal. Skenes throws his four-seam fastball 37.8% of the time, and he has topped out at 101.9 MPH on one of his fastballs.

Of the 405 four-seam fastballs Skenes has thrown in 2024, only 177 of them have failed to reach 99-plus MPH. For a pitcher who regularly clocks in at 99-plus MPH on the radar gun, there is value in taking Skenes to hurl a ball between 99 and 100 MPH on Tuesday night.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.