Missouri vs Mississippi State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SEC Tournament

The No. 7 seed Missouri Tigers (21-10, 10-8 SEC) head into the SEC tournament against the No. 10 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-11, 8-10 SEC) on Thursday at Bridgestone Arena, tipping off at 7 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Missouri vs. Mississippi State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Location: Nashville, Tennessee
• Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Before you wager on Thursday's Missouri-Mississippi State spread (Missouri -3.5) or over/under (157.5 points), read the betting insights and trends below.

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Missouri vs. Mississippi State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Missouri has put together a 17-13-0 record against the spread this season.
• Mississippi State has covered 15 times in 32 games with a spread this season.
• As a 3.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Mississippi State is 1-3 against the spread compared to the 9-9 ATS record Missouri puts up as a 3.5-point favorite.
• The Tigers have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 11 times in 19 opportunities at home, and they've covered five times in 10 opportunities in away games.
• This year, the Bulldogs are 6-9-0 at home against the spread (.400 winning percentage). Away, they are 6-5-0 ATS (.545).
• Missouri has covered the spread 12 times in 18 conference games.
• Against the spread in SEC play, Mississippi State is 8-11-0 this season.

Missouri vs. Mississippi State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Missouri has won in 15, or 75%, of the 20 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Tigers have a win-loss record of 12-3 when favored by -164 or better by oddsmakers this year.
• Mississippi State has been the underdog on the moneyline five total times this season. Mississippi State has gone 2-3 in those games.
• The Bulldogs have a 1-3 record (winning just 25% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +136 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Missouri has a 62.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Missouri vs. Mississippi State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Missouri averages 84.5 points per game (eighth in college basketball) while allowing 73.2 per contest (217th in college basketball). It has a +352 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 11.3 points per game.
• Mark Mitchell's team-leading 14.3 points per game ranks 343rd in the nation.
• Mississippi State is outscoring opponents by 6.2 points per game, with a +197 scoring differential overall. It puts up 80.0 points per game (42nd in college basketball) and gives up 73.8 per contest (237th in college basketball).
• Josh Hubbard's team-leading 18.4 points per game rank him 62nd in the country.
• The Tigers prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 1.4 boards. They are grabbing 31.1 rebounds per game (230th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 29.7 per outing.
• Josh Gray is 543rd in college basketball play with 5.2 rebounds per game to lead the Tigers.
• The 35.8 rebounds per game the Bulldogs accumulate rank 23rd in the nation, 3.1 more than the 32.7 their opponents grab.
• KeShawn Murphy leads the Bulldogs with 7.4 rebounds per game (120th in college basketball).
• Missouri's 107.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank seventh in college basketball, and the 92.8 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 164th in college basketball.
• The Bulldogs rank 86th in college basketball averaging 99.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 143rd, allowing 92.1 points per 100 possessions.

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