Missouri vs Arkansas Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for February 22

The Missouri Tigers (20-6, 9-4 SEC) will look to continue a three-game winning streak when they visit the Arkansas Razorbacks (15-11, 4-9 SEC) on February 22, 2025 at Bud Walton Arena.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Missouri vs. Arkansas Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Saturday, February 22, 2025
- Game time: 8:00 PM ET
- TV channel: ESPN
- Location: Fayetteville, Arkansas
- Arena: Bud Walton Arena
Missouri vs. Arkansas Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Arkansas win (53.4%)
Read these betting trends and insights before you wager on Saturday's Missouri-Arkansas spread (Missouri -1.5) or total (149.5 points).
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Missouri vs. Arkansas: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Missouri is 16-9-0 ATS this season.
- Arkansas is 12-14-0 ATS this year.
- As a 1.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Missouri is 10-7 against the spread compared to the 6-5 ATS record Arkansas puts up as a 1.5-point underdog.
- The Tigers own a worse record against the spread at home (10-7-0) than they do in road games (5-2-0).
- The Razorbacks' winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .500. They are 7-7-0 ATS on their home court and 4-4-0 on the road.
- Missouri has covered the spread 11 times in 13 conference games.
- Arkansas is 7-6-0 against the spread in SEC action this season.
Missouri vs. Arkansas: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Missouri has come away with 14 wins in the 15 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
- This year, the Tigers have won 14 of 15 games when listed as at least -115 or better on the moneyline.
- Arkansas has been the moneyline underdog 11 total times this season. Arkansas has finished 3-8 in those games.
- The Razorbacks have a record of 3-8 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -104 or longer (27.3%).
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Missouri has a 53.5% chance of walking away with the win.
Missouri vs. Arkansas Head-to-Head Comparison
- Missouri's +353 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 13.6 points per game) is a result of scoring 83.7 points per game (12th in college basketball) while allowing 70.1 per outing (130th in college basketball).
- Missouri's leading scorer, Mark Mitchell, is 429th in college basketball averaging 13.6 points per game.
- Arkansas is outscoring opponents by 6.7 points per game, with a +172 scoring differential overall. It puts up 75.5 points per game (136th in college basketball) and gives up 68.8 per outing (85th in college basketball).
- Adou Thiero is ranked 188th in the nation with a team-leading 15.9 points per game.
- The Tigers pull down 31.8 rebounds per game (194th in college basketball) while conceding 29.7 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 2.1 boards per game.
- Josh Gray is 570th in college basketball action with 5.1 rebounds per game to lead the Tigers.
- The Razorbacks rank 172nd in the nation at 32.2 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 31.6 their opponents average.
- Thiero averages 6.0 rebounds per game (318th in college basketball) to lead the Razorbacks.
- Missouri averages 107.0 points per 100 possessions on offense (ninth in college basketball), and allows 89.6 points per 100 possessions (97th in college basketball).
- The Razorbacks rank 144th in college basketball with 97.0 points scored per 100 possessions, and 69th defensively with 88.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
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